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Paychex, Inc. (PAYX) Stock Analysis 2026

TechnologySoftware - Application
$110.66as of 2026-07-23

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
38
Weak
Price CAGR
9.5%
1Y Return
-20.3%
Analyst Upside
-6.8%
Rev Growth
12.5%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

BriMind 1-Year Price Target

$123.59+11.7% potential
Bear Case
$84.05
Bull Case
$163.06
Model Confidence90%

BriMind AI combines DCF, momentum, and analyst consensus to project a 12-month price target.

PAYX Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how PAYX's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$3.97B
Cost of Revenue
-$1.30B
Gross Profit
$2.67B67.2% margin
Operating Expenses
-$1.15B
Operating Income
$1.52B38.3% margin
Tax & Other
-$463.9M
Net Income
$1.06B26.6% margin
Gross Margin
67.2%
Operating Margin
38.3%
Net Margin
26.6%
EBITDA Margin
44.6%

Key Financial Metrics

A snapshot of the company's valuation, growth, profitability, and financial health. Key things to look at: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business — companies with strong FCF can buy back shares, pay dividends, or invest; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged the company is (high debt can be risky); Return on Equity tells you how efficiently the company generates profit from shareholders' money.

Market Cap
$40.68B
Enterprise Value
$56.81B
P/E (Trailing)
23.44
P/E (Forward)
17.91
EV / EBITDA
23.40
Price / Sales
10.58
Price / Book
13.98
Revenue
$3.97B
Revenue Growth
12.5%
Earnings Growth
43.4%
EBITDA
$2.43B
Gross Margin
67.2%
Operating Margin
38.3%
Net Margin
26.6%
Return on Equity
40.3%
Return on Assets
10.8%
Free Cash Flow
$2.00B
Total Cash
$1.60B
Total Debt
$863.7M
Debt / Equity
123.97
Current Ratio
1.15
Quick Ratio
0.30
Beta
0.89
Dividend Yield
4.2%
Payout Ratio
90.6%
Book Value / Share
$10.50

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

Professional analysts at investment banks set 12-month price targets after researching the company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends. Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside. Hold means analysts see fair value near the current price — not a sell signal, but limited near-term upside expected. The mean target is the average of all analyst price targets; the range shows where the most optimistic and most cautious analysts stand.

Consensus RatingUnderperform(15 analysts)
SellStrong Buy
Low Target$122.0010.2%
Mean Target$106.57-3.7% upside
High Target$165.00+49.1%

Intrinsic Value Estimates for PAYX

Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals — independent of what the market currently prices it at. We use multiple models because no single formula is perfect: each captures different aspects of a business. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal. A stock trading well below its intrinsic value may be a bargain; one far above may carry more risk.

DCF Model (10yr)
$116.43
+5.2% vs current
Discounts 10 years of projected free cash flow back to today's dollars (5% growth, 10% discount rate). Best for companies generating consistent cash.
Fair Value Range
$116.43 – $116.43
Average Estimate
$116.43
Potential Upside
5.2%

⚠️ Intrinsic value estimates use simplified models (Graham, DCF, P/E) and conservative assumptions. They should be used as one input among many — not as sole buy/sell guidance. For advanced analysis, see the full platform.

Compare PAYX with Peers

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