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Chevron Corporation (CVX) Stock Analysis 2026

EnergyIntegrated Oil & Gas
$186.56
as of 2026-08-07

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
55
Moderate
Price CAGR
11.1%
1Y Return
+30.0%
Analyst Upside
+9.2%
Rev Growth
52.6%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

BriMind 1-Year Price Target

$230.33+23.5% potential
Bear Case
$151.29
Bull Case
$282.60
Model Confidence90%

BriMind AI combines DCF, momentum, and analyst consensus to project a 12-month price target.

AI scores and price targets are for informational and educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Full Disclaimer →

About Chevron Corporation

Chevron is the second-largest US integrated oil and gas company (behind ExxonMobil), producing 3.1+ million barrels of oil equivalent per day across operations in the US (Permian Basin), Australia (LNG), Kazakhstan, and the Gulf of Mexico. Chevron operates across the entire energy value chain — from exploration and production (upstream) through refining and chemicals (downstream). The company has the strongest balance sheet among major oil companies and has been pursuing a $53B acquisition of Hess Corporation for its Guyana offshore assets.

How Chevron Makes Money

Chevron earns from upstream (~75% of operating earnings — oil and gas exploration and production, with profitability driven by commodity prices) and downstream (~25% — refining crude oil into gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel; petrochemicals). The company also has a growing renewable fuels and hydrogen business. Chevron's Permian Basin assets are among the lowest-cost US production, generating strong free cash flow even at moderate oil prices.

Chevron Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how Chevron's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$209.37B
Cost of Revenue
-$116.70B
Gross Profit
$92.67B44.3% margin
Operating Expenses
-$46.71B
Operating Income
$45.96B22.0% margin
Tax & Other
-$25.37B
Net Income
$20.59B9.8% margin
Gross Margin
44.3%
Operating Margin
22.0%
Net Margin
9.8%
EBITDA Margin
19.7%

Key Financial Metrics

A snapshot of the company's valuation, growth, profitability, and financial health. Key things to look at: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business — companies with strong FCF can buy back shares, pay dividends, or invest; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged the company is (high debt can be risky); Return on Equity tells you how efficiently the company generates profit from shareholders' money.

Market Cap
$392.01B
Enterprise Value
$270.74B
P/E (Trailing)
18.94
P/E (Forward)
15.41
EV / EBITDA
7.03
Price / Sales
1.24
Price / Book
1.64
Revenue
$209.37B
Revenue Growth
52.6%
Earnings Growth
322.9%
EBITDA
$38.50B
Gross Margin
44.3%
Operating Margin
22.0%
Net Margin
9.8%
Return on Equity
6.6%
Return on Assets
3.5%
Free Cash Flow
$11.78B
Total Cash
$4.64B
Total Debt
$29.68B
Debt / Equity
23.99
Current Ratio
1.09
Quick Ratio
0.72
Beta
0.49
Dividend Yield
3.6%
Payout Ratio
67.2%
Book Value / Share
$92.91

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

Professional analysts at investment banks set 12-month price targets after researching the company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends. Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside. Hold means analysts see fair value near the current price — not a sell signal, but limited near-term upside expected. The mean target is the average of all analyst price targets; the range shows where the most optimistic and most cautious analysts stand.

Consensus RatingBuy(23 analysts)
SellStrong Buy
Low Target$124.00-33.5%
Mean Target$215.00+15.2% upside
High Target$186.00+-0.3%

Intrinsic Value Estimates for CVX

Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals — independent of what the market currently prices it at. We use multiple models because no single formula is perfect: each captures different aspects of a business. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal. A stock trading well below its intrinsic value may be a bargain; one far above may carry more risk.

DCF Model (10yr)
$142.77
-23.5% vs current
Discounts 10 years of projected free cash flow back to today's dollars (5% growth, 10% discount rate). Best for companies generating consistent cash.
Fair Value Range
$142.77 – $142.77
Average Estimate
$142.77
Potential Downside
-23.5%

⚠️ Intrinsic value estimates use simplified models (Graham, DCF, P/E) and conservative assumptions. They should be used as one input among many — not as sole buy/sell guidance. For advanced analysis, see the full platform.

CVX Investment Case: Bull vs Bear

Every investment has two sides. The bull case outlines the key reasons the stock could outperform — competitive advantages, growth catalysts, and market tailwinds. The bear case highlights the most significant risks that could cause the investment to underperform. Good investors read both sides carefully before deciding. A strong bull case with manageable bear risks typically makes for a more compelling investment.

Bull Case (Reasons to Buy)

  • Permian Basin dominance — Chevron's 2.2 million net acres produce 900K+ boe/d at some of the lowest costs in the industry, generating strong free cash flow even at $50/barrel oil.
  • Hess acquisition ($53B) adds world-class Guyana offshore assets — Guyana is the highest-return new oil discovery globally with decades of production growth ahead.
  • Strongest balance sheet among oil majors — low debt/equity ratio provides financial flexibility for acquisitions, buybacks, and dividend growth through commodity cycles.
  • 37 consecutive years of dividend increases with a 4%+ yield — Chevron is a Dividend Aristocrat with a well-covered, growing payout.

Bear Case (Key Risks)

  • Oil price dependency — Chevron's earnings can swing 50%+ based on crude oil prices, creating significant volatility for investors.
  • Hess acquisition is contested by ExxonMobil in arbitration over Guyana preemptive rights — if blocked, Chevron loses a key growth asset.
  • Energy transition and ESG pressure could reduce long-term oil demand — some investors are divesting from fossil fuel companies.
  • Downstream refining margins are cyclical and declining from 2022 peaks as refining capacity comes online globally.

What to Watch: CVX Key Metrics

Oil and gas production growth
Permian Basin production and costs
Hess acquisition status
Free cash flow and capital return
Breakeven oil price

CVX Stock — Frequently Asked Questions

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CVX — Related Investment Themes

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