NIKE Inc. (NKE) Stock Analysis
BriMind AI Score
ProprietaryScore based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.
BriMind 1-Year Price Target
BriMind AI combines DCF, momentum, and analyst consensus to project a 12-month price target.
About NIKE Inc.
Nike is the world's largest athletic footwear and apparel brand, generating $50B+ in annual revenue across 190+ countries. The company designs, develops, and sells athletic shoes (Air Max, Air Jordan, Dunk), apparel, equipment, and accessories under the Nike, Jordan, and Converse brands. Nike is undergoing a significant turnaround under new CEO Elliott Hill after a period of strategic missteps including over-rotation to direct-to-consumer sales, innovation stagnation, and loss of key wholesale partnerships.
How NIKE Makes Money
Nike earns from Nike Direct (~44% — Nike.com, Nike app, Nike-owned stores), wholesale (~55% — Foot Locker, Dick's, JD Sports, and global retailers), and Converse (~5%). Revenue is split across footwear (~66%), apparel (~28%), and equipment (~6%). The Jordan Brand alone generates $7B+ annually. Nike's competitive moat is its athlete endorsement ecosystem (LeBron, Kylian Mbappé, etc.) and innovation in performance footwear technology.
NIKE Revenue & Profitability Breakdown
This chart shows how NIKE's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.
Key Financial Metrics
A snapshot of the company's valuation, growth, profitability, and financial health. Key things to look at: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business — companies with strong FCF can buy back shares, pay dividends, or invest; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged the company is (high debt can be risky); Return on Equity tells you how efficiently the company generates profit from shareholders' money.
Wall Street Analyst Consensus
Professional analysts at investment banks set 12-month price targets after researching the company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends. Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside. Hold means analysts see fair value near the current price — not a sell signal, but limited near-term upside expected. The mean target is the average of all analyst price targets; the range shows where the most optimistic and most cautious analysts stand.
Intrinsic Value Estimates for NKE
Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals — independent of what the market currently prices it at. We use multiple models because no single formula is perfect: each captures different aspects of a business. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal. A stock trading well below its intrinsic value may be a bargain; one far above may carry more risk.
⚠️ Intrinsic value estimates use simplified models (Graham, DCF, P/E) and conservative assumptions. They should be used as one input among many — not as sole buy/sell guidance. For advanced analysis, see the full platform.
NKE Investment Case: Bull vs Bear
Every investment has two sides. The bull case outlines the key reasons the stock could outperform — competitive advantages, growth catalysts, and market tailwinds. The bear case highlights the most significant risks that could cause the investment to underperform. Good investors read both sides carefully before deciding. A strong bull case with manageable bear risks typically makes for a more compelling investment.
Bull Case (Reasons to Buy)
- New CEO Elliott Hill (Nike veteran) is resetting the strategy — restoring wholesale partnerships, re-investing in innovation, and reducing promotional activity.
- Jordan Brand is a cultural phenomenon generating $7B+ annually — it transcends sport and has pricing power across sneaker culture.
- International markets (China, EMEA, Asia Pacific) represent 60%+ of revenue and have strong growth potential as middle classes expand.
- Valuation has compressed to 25-28x forward P/E from 35x+ — the reset creates a more attractive entry point for a world-class brand.
Bear Case (Key Risks)
- Innovation has stagnated — competitors (On Running, Hoka, New Balance, Adidas) have gained significant market share with fresher product designs.
- DTC over-rotation damaged wholesale relationships — restoring partnerships with Foot Locker and others will take time and may require margin concessions.
- China recovery is slower than expected — Chinese consumer spending on premium athletic wear has been weak amid the economic slowdown.
- Brand heat has cooled — Nike Dunks and Air Force 1s are losing cultural relevance as consumers seek newer, less ubiquitous brands.
What to Watch: NKE Key Metrics
NKE Stock — Frequently Asked Questions
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