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SFNC
Simmons First National Corporation · Financials - Regional Banking
$23.86
+4.47% this month
VERSUS
COMPARE
OFG
OFG Bancorp · Financials - Regional Banking (Puerto Rico)
$53.08
+7.28% this month
Scoreboard verdict
Across AI score, momentum, valuation, upside, operating margin
SFNC
2
OFG
2
MIXED SETUP
Comparison scoreboard
MIXED SETUP
AI Score
SFNC 31.5
OFG 39.4
1Y Return
SFNC +30.88%
OFG +29.98%
Fwd P/E
SFNC 10.85
OFG 10.59
Target Up.
SFNC +4.78%
OFG +3.62%
Op. Margin
SFNC N/A
OFG N/A
Metrics last refreshed: 8/4/2026
Quick take

SFNC vs OFG Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside

SFNC (Simmons First National) and OFG (OFG Bancorp) are both regional banks with focused geographic strategies — Simmons is a multi-state South/Midwest regional bank built through acquisitions of community banks across Arkansas, Texas, Tennessee, and neighboring states, while OFG Bancorp is the dominant Puerto Rico consumer and commercial bank benefiting from the island's post-PROMESA and post-Hurricane Maria economic recovery.

SFNC vs OFG is acquisition-driven multi-state regional bank with South/Midwest agricultural and commercial lending (Simmons's cross-state diversification, agricultural expertise, and integration track record — acquisition integration risk and NIM compression) versus Puerto Rico-focused bank benefiting from island economic recovery (OFG's auto loan growth, competitive position improvement from weaker competitor exits, and federal reconstruction spending tailwind — Puerto Rico population decline and geographic concentration risk).

Live analysis · updated 8/4/2026

SFNC and OFG are closely matched — they split the tracked metrics evenly. SFNC has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+30.88% vs +29.98%), though OFG has the better forward P/E setup (10.59x vs 10.85x for SFNC). Analyst consensus implies similar upside for both: +4.78% for SFNC and +3.62% for OFG.

Normalized 1Y performance
SFNC
OFG
Recent returns
SFNC
OFG
Analyst price targets & sentiment
SFNC · 7 analysts
Price target range
analyst low$24.00
analyst high$27.00
analyst mean$25.00
current price$23.86
+4.8% upside to analyst mean
OFG · 4 analysts
STRONG BUYHOLDSTRONG SELL
Hold (2.6/5.0)
Price target range
analyst low$49.00
analyst high$58.00
analyst mean$55.00
current price$53.08
+3.6% upside to analyst mean
Who should consider this stock?
SFNC may suit investors who:
  • Want diversified South/Midwest regional banking exposure through an acquisition-active community bank consolidator with expanding multi-state branch network and agricultural lending specialization
  • Value Simmons's track record of acquiring community banks and capturing cost synergies through technology and back-office consolidation
  • Accept acquisition integration execution risk in exchange for growth potential through continued community bank consolidation in underpenetrated regional markets
OFG may suit investors who:
  • Want Puerto Rico banking exposure through the island's post-PROMESA debt restructuring and federal reconstruction spending recovery that has meaningfully improved the economic environment
  • Value OFG's auto loan and consumer lending dominance in a captive island market where residents have limited transportation alternatives to personal vehicles
  • Believe Puerto Rico's stabilized government finances (post-PROMESA restructuring) and federal FEMA/infrastructure investment create multi-year loan growth and asset quality improvement
Performance & AI score
Performance & AI score
MetricSFNCOFG
AI score31.539.4
AI rank#2074#1155
Latest close$23.86$53.08
1M return+4.47%+7.28%
6M return+19.86%+33.83%
1Y return+30.88%+29.98%
$10,000 invested — hypothetical growth (dividends reinvested)

How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?

$10,000 invested — hypothetical growth (dividends reinvested)
PeriodSFNCOFG
1Y ago$13.65K (+36.5%)
started 2025-08-04
$13.17K (+31.7%)
started 2025-08-04
5Y ago$12.95K (+29.5%)
started 2021-08-03
$29.7K (+197.0%)
started 2021-08-03
10Y ago$20.93K (+109.3%)
started 2016-08-03
$79.78K (+697.8%)
started 2016-08-03

Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.

Valuation & upside potential
Valuation & upside potential
MetricSFNCOFG
Market cap$3.45B$2.24B
Trailing P/EN/A10.43
Forward P/E10.8510.59
Price/Sales31.253.45
EV/Revenue37.563.19
Analyst target$25.00$55.00
Target upside+4.78%+3.62%
Growth, profitability & risk
Growth, profitability & risk
MetricSFNCOFG
Revenue growth14.30%10.40%
Earnings growth7.00%20.90%
EPS growth+7.00%+20.90%
FCF marginN/AN/A
Operating marginN/AN/A
Profit margin0.00%33.85%
ROIC proxy-9.94%16.08%
Return on equity-9.94%16.08%
Dividend yield3.64%2.55%
Beta0.920.70
Debt/equityN/AN/A
Current ratioN/AN/A
Quick ratioN/AN/A
Drawdown & downside risk

Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.

1Y risk snapshot
SFNC max drawdown17.57%
OFG max drawdown17.50%
SFNC max wkly drop7.66%
OFG max wkly drop11.39%
5Y risk snapshot
SFNC max drawdown53.40%
OFG max drawdown24.56%
SFNC max wkly drop12.75%
OFG max wkly drop12.85%
10Y risk snapshot
SFNC max drawdown54.17%
OFG max drawdown61.25%
SFNC max wkly drop28.14%
OFG max wkly drop30.09%
Performance metrics by period
Performance metrics by period
PeriodMetricSFNCOFG
1YGrowth+30.74%+28.75%
CAGR+30.86%+28.86%
Sharpe ratio0.990.95
Max drawdown17.57%17.50%
Max daily drop6.17%8.45%
Max wkly drop7.66%11.39%
5YGrowth+4.35%+159.12%
CAGR+0.85%+20.98%
Sharpe ratio0.030.65
Max drawdown53.40%24.56%
Max daily drop9.09%8.62%
Max wkly drop12.75%12.85%
10YGrowth+44.01%+522.87%
CAGR+3.71%+20.07%
Sharpe ratio0.140.55
Max drawdown54.17%61.25%
Max daily drop13.62%19.24%
Max wkly drop28.14%30.09%
Business comparison
Business comparison
CategorySFNCOFG
CompanySimmons First National CorporationOFG Bancorp
SectorFinancials - Regional BankingFinancials - Regional Banking (Puerto Rico)
IndustryN/AN/A
Core businessSimmons First National Corporation is a financial holding company headquartered in Pine Bluff, Arkansas, operating Simmons Bank with branches across Arkansas, Kansas, Missouri, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Colorado, and other states. Simmons has grown primarily through acquisitions, purchasing community banks across the South and Midwest to build a multi-state regional banking franchise. Simmons provides commercial banking, consumer banking, mortgage origination, wealth management, and agricultural lending services. Agricultural lending is a notable specialty given Simmons's Arkansas roots and rural Midwest footprint.OFG Bancorp (formerly Oriental Financial Group) is a Puerto Rico-based financial holding company operating Oriental Bank, one of Puerto Rico's largest banks. OFG provides commercial banking, consumer banking (auto loans, mortgages, personal loans), and US Virgin Islands banking services. OFG has benefited from the Puerto Rico market recovery following the island's bankruptcy proceedings (PROMESA restructuring completed 2022) and Hurricane Maria recovery, which drove significant federal infrastructure spending through the island. OFG has grown market share as weaker Puerto Rico competitors exited or reduced operations.
Investor focusInvestors track Simmons's net interest margin, loan growth, non-interest income, efficiency ratio, and integration execution of acquired banks into the Simmons platform — particularly whether acquisitions deliver the expected cost synergies and revenue enhancements.Investors track OFG's loan growth (particularly auto and commercial loans in Puerto Rico's recovering economy), net interest margin, asset quality, and how Puerto Rico's federal recovery spending and PROMESA debt restructuring completion affect the island's economic activity.
SFNC strengths
  • Multi-state regional diversification reduces geographic concentration risk from any single state's economic downturn
  • Agricultural lending expertise is a differentiated specialty serving rural Arkansas and Midwest farming communities underserved by large national banks
  • Acquisition-driven growth strategy has expanded from a single-state Arkansas bank to a multi-state franchise with scale advantages in technology and back-office operations
OFG strengths
  • Puerto Rico market recovery provides multi-year economic tailwind from federal reconstruction spending and PROMESA debt restructuring completion that stabilized government finances
  • Competitive position improved as weaker Puerto Rico banks reduced their presence or exited, leaving OFG with market share gains in a recovering market
  • Auto loan specialization serves Puerto Rico's vehicle-dependent population where public transit is limited, creating consistent consumer loan demand
Risks to watch — SFNC
  • Acquisition integration risk — frequent acquisitions create integration complexity; cultural and technology system integration challenges can disrupt service quality and cost structure
  • Net interest margin compression in low-rate or flat yield curve environments reduces Simmons's primary revenue driver
  • Commercial real estate concentration typical of community bank acquisition targets creates credit quality risk in economic downturns
Risks to watch — OFG
  • Puerto Rico's structural economic challenges — population decline, emigration to the U.S. mainland, and a shrinking labor force limit long-term loan growth potential
  • Concentration risk in a single island economy creates vulnerability to hurricanes, federal policy changes, and economic shocks that affect the entire market simultaneously
  • Government-related credit exposure — Puerto Rico's government banking relationships carry credit quality considerations given the island's prior debt restructuring
Frequently asked questions
Puerto Rico debt crisis: Puerto Rico's government accumulated approximately $70 billion in bond debt and $50+ billion in pension obligations that it could not service; in 2016, Congress passed PROMESA (Puerto Rico Oversight, Management, and Economic Stability Act), creating a Financial Oversight and Management Board that has authority over Puerto Rico's finances; PROMESA is analogous to a federal receivership allowing debt restructuring without formal Chapter 9 bankruptcy. Restructuring completion: after years of negotiations, Puerto Rico's main general obligation bond debt was restructured in March 2022, and most other debt was restructured by 2023; restructuring reduced Puerto Rico's debt burden by approximately $50 billion (from $70B to approximately $7-8B in restructured bonds); this eliminated the government's insolvency crisis and stabilized public finances. OFG Bancorp impact: before PROMESA, Puerto Rico's government financial crisis created severe economic uncertainty on the island; population emigrated to the mainland; real estate values declined; loan defaults increased; many Puerto Rico banks (including Eurobank and R-G Crown Bank) failed; OFG survived and strengthened its market position as weaker competitors exited; once PROMESA restructuring was completed and Hurricane Maria recovery federal spending ($80B+ in FEMA/CDBG-DR allocations) began flowing into the island's economy, Puerto Rico entered a recovery phase that benefited remaining banks like OFG through improved loan demand, real estate value recovery, and better asset quality.
AI Prediction SignalNext 5 trading days
Members only
SFNC
+2.8%BUY
OFG
+1.1%HOLD

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