LIVE
MKTX
MarketAxess Holdings Inc. · Financials
$120.33
-15.18% this month
VERSUS
⟷
COMPARE
ICE
Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. · Financials
$133.88
-13.13% this month
Scoreboard verdict
Across AI score, momentum, valuation, upside, operating margin
MKTX
2
ICE
3
Comparison scoreboard
ICE LEADS 3/5AI Score
MKTX 25.0
ICE ✓49.9
1Y Return
MKTX -46.16%
ICE ✓-26.03%
Fwd P/E
MKTX ✓13.49
ICE 15.20
Target Up.
MKTX ✓+49.14%
ICE +47.64%
Op. Margin
MKTX 43.88%
ICE ✓57.31%
Metrics last refreshed: 6/22/2026
Quick take
MKTX vs ICE Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
MarketAxess and ICE are both financial market infrastructure companies, but MarketAxess is a pure-play electronic fixed income trading platform while ICE is a diversified exchange and data company. MarketAxess's pure-play credit market share leadership creates focused upside from corporate bond electronic trading secular growth. ICE's diversification reduces cycle exposure but dilutes the specific credit market growth thesis.
MKTX vs ICE is the pure-play electronic corporate bond trading platform capturing the secular shift from voice to electronic IG credit trading with 20%+ market share and network effect moat (MarketAxess) versus the diversified exchange and data giant with NYSE, energy, fixed income data, and mortgage technology providing broader financial infrastructure exposure (ICE) — focused credit market secular growth vs diversified exchange conglomerate.
Live analysis · updated 6/22/2026
ICE holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. ICE has delivered stronger 1-year price return (-26.03% vs -46.16%), though MKTX trades at the lower forward P/E (13.49x vs 15.20x). ICE leads on both revenue growth (20.40%) and operating margin (57.31%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies similar upside for both: +49.14% for MKTX and +47.64% for ICE.
Normalized 1Y performance
MKTX
ICE
Recent returns
MKTX
ICE
Analyst price targets & sentiment
MKTX
Price target range
analyst mean$179.45
current price$120.33
+49.1% upside to analyst mean
ICE
Price target range
analyst mean$197.67
current price$133.88
+47.6% upside to analyst mean
Who should consider this stock?
MKTX may suit investors who:
- →prefer the pure-play electronic corporate bond trading platform capturing the secular shift from voice-based to electronic fixed income trading with network effect moat
- →value MarketAxess's 20%+ US IG credit market share creating a defensible position as the dominant venue for institutional corporate bond trading
- →want focused financial market infrastructure exposure specifically to corporate bond market structure improvement and Open Trading network effects
- →are comfortable with Tradeweb competition, credit market volume cyclicality correlated with corporate issuance activity, and pure-play concentration in fixed income trading
ICE may suit investors who:
- →prefer the diversified exchange and data company with NYSE prestige, energy derivatives, fixed income data, and mortgage technology providing multi-segment financial infrastructure exposure
- →value ICE's revenue diversification reducing single-market cycle dependence — energy futures, equities, fixed income data, and mortgage technology have different demand drivers
- →want broader financial market infrastructure exposure covering equity market structure (NYSE), commodity derivatives (energy), and financial data without pure-play credit market concentration
- →are comfortable with mortgage technology rate sensitivity, NYSE equities market share competition, and ICE management complexity across multiple distinct business segments
Performance & AI score
| Metric | MKTX | ICE |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | 25.0 | 49.9 |
| AI rank | #2912 | #482 |
| Latest close | $120.33 | $133.88 |
| 1M return | -15.18% | -13.13% |
| 6M return | -33.84% | -16.77% |
| 1Y return | -46.16% | -26.03% |
$10,000 invested — hypothetical growth (dividends reinvested)
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | MKTX | ICE |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $5.45K (-45.5%) started 2025-06-18 | $7.45K (-25.5%) started 2025-06-18 |
| 5Y ago | $2.87K (-71.3%) started 2021-06-21 | $13.02K (+30.2%) started 2021-06-21 |
| 10Y ago | $9.92K (-0.8%) started 2016-06-20 | $33.42K (+234.2%) started 2016-06-20 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
Valuation & upside potential
| Metric | MKTX | ICE |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $4.28B | $75.71B |
| Trailing P/E | 14.26 | 19.49 |
| Forward P/E | 13.49 | 15.20 |
| Price/Sales | N/A | N/A |
| EV/Revenue | 4.71 | 9.19 |
| Analyst target | $179.45 | $197.67 |
| Target upside | +49.14% | +47.64% |
Growth, profitability & risk
| Metric | MKTX | ICE |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | 11.90% | 20.40% |
| Earnings growth | 450.00% | 79.70% |
| EPS growth | +450.00% | +79.70% |
| FCF margin | -29.14% | +35.87% |
| Operating margin | 43.88% | 57.31% |
| Profit margin | 35.52% | 37.67% |
| ROIC proxy | 24.30% | 13.85% |
| Return on equity | 24.30% | 13.85% |
| Dividend yield | 2.59% | 1.55% |
| Beta | 0.85 | 0.92 |
| Debt/equity | 24.25 | 70.99 |
| Current ratio | 4.94 | 1.01 |
| Quick ratio | 4.28 | 0.03 |
Drawdown & downside risk
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
1Y risk snapshot
MKTX max drawdown48.01%
ICE max drawdown28.96%
MKTX max wkly drop11.09%
ICE max wkly drop10.97%
5Y risk snapshot
MKTX max drawdown75.48%
ICE max drawdown34.32%
MKTX max wkly drop20.50%
ICE max wkly drop15.73%
10Y risk snapshot
MKTX max drawdown79.47%
ICE max drawdown34.32%
MKTX max wkly drop21.25%
ICE max wkly drop22.78%
Performance metrics by period
| Period | Metric | MKTX | ICE |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | -45.51% | -25.52% |
| CAGR | -45.55% | -25.55% | |
| Sharpe ratio | -2.22 | -1.41 | |
| Max drawdown | 48.01% | 28.96% | |
| Max daily drop | 10.11% | 7.78% | |
| Max wkly drop | 11.09% | 10.97% | |
| 5Y | Growth | -72.49% | +23.77% |
| CAGR | -22.78% | +4.36% | |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.76 | 0.10 | |
| Max drawdown | 75.48% | 34.32% | |
| Max daily drop | 17.80% | 7.78% | |
| Max wkly drop | 20.50% | 15.73% | |
| 10Y | Growth | -8.10% | +196.88% |
| CAGR | -0.84% | +11.50% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.00 | 0.40 | |
| Max drawdown | 79.47% | 34.32% | |
| Max daily drop | 17.80% | 12.29% | |
| Max wkly drop | 21.25% | 22.78% |
Business comparison
| Category | MKTX | ICE |
|---|---|---|
| Company | MarketAxess Holdings Inc. | Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. |
| Sector | Financial Services | Financial Services |
| Industry | N/A | N/A |
| Core business | MarketAxess is the leading electronic trading platform for US investment-grade and high-yield corporate bonds, emerging market bonds, and other fixed income instruments. MarketAxess connects institutional investors (asset managers, hedge funds) with dealer banks for bond trading through its multi-dealer request-for-quote (RFQ) protocol. Open Trading — MarketAxess's all-to-all network — allows non-dealers to provide liquidity, increasing trading competition. MarketAxess captures a transaction fee on each trade, with volume correlated with credit market activity. | ICE is a diversified exchange and financial data company owning NYSE, energy commodity exchanges, credit default swap clearing, fixed income and data services, and mortgage technology. ICE's fixed income data businesses provide reference pricing for bonds — potentially competing with MarketAxess in adjacent fixed income market infrastructure. ICE's Bondpoint and ICE Bonds platforms provide fixed income trading infrastructure, but ICE's primary strength is energy derivatives, equity market structure, and financial data. |
| Investor focus | Investors track US investment-grade credit market share (MKTX's share of the $10T+ IG credit trading market), Open Trading growth, and high-yield and international bond platform growth. | Investors track all exchange segments: NYSE equities, energy futures, fixed income data, and mortgage technology as described in the separate ICE entry. |
MKTX strengths
- →Market share leadership in IG credit: MarketAxess has 20%+ market share in US investment-grade corporate bond electronic trading — a dominant position in a multi-trillion dollar market
- →Open Trading network effect: as more participants join, liquidity improves, attracting more participants — a marketplace network effect that makes MarketAxess progressively harder to displace
- →Electronic trading secular growth: corporate bond markets are transitioning from voice to electronic trading — MarketAxess's electronic platform captures this structural shift
ICE strengths
- →Diversified revenue across multiple financial market segments reduces ICE's dependence on any single market cycle
- →ICE Data Services provides fixed income reference data to the same institutional fixed income investors that MarketAxess serves for trading — adjacent position in the fixed income ecosystem
- →NYSE provides equity market structure leadership that MarketAxess cannot replicate — a complementary business beyond fixed income
Risks to watch — MKTX
- →Competition from Tradeweb (also a large fixed income electronic trading platform) for credit market share is intensifying — both compete for the same institutional credit trading volume
- →MarketAxess's growth is correlated with credit market activity and issuance volumes — when corporate debt issuance declines, MarketAxess volume falls
- →Interest rate volatility can hurt corporate bond trading — when rates spike suddenly, bid-ask spreads widen and institutional investors trade less frequently
Risks to watch — ICE
- →ICE's fixed income trading ambitions via ICE Bonds compete with MarketAxess in some electronic bond trading segments
- →ICE's mortgage technology business adds rate-sensitive revenue that creates earnings headwinds in rising rate environments
- →ICE's complexity across many financial market segments requires careful management attention across very different market structures
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