brimindinvest.com / compare / hpe-vs-cisco-infraLIVE
HPE
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company · Technology - Enterprise Server, Storage & Cloud Infrastructure
$47.41
+45.34% this month
VERSUS
COMPARE
CSCO
Cisco Systems, Inc. · Technology - Enterprise Networking, Security & Software
$119.54
+3.61% this month
Scoreboard verdict
Across AI score, momentum, valuation, upside, operating margin
HPE
4
CSCO
1
HPE LEADS 4/5
Comparison scoreboard
HPE LEADS 4/5
AI Score
HPE 62.4
CSCO 51.4
1Y Return
HPE +164.86%
CSCO +82.98%
Fwd P/E
HPE 11.86
CSCO 25.03
Target Up.
HPE +35.27%
CSCO +6.28%
Op. Margin
HPE 8.70%
CSCO 24.99%
Metrics last refreshed: 6/22/2026
Quick take

HPE vs CSCO Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside

HPE and Cisco are both major enterprise IT infrastructure companies with some competitive overlap (networking, enterprise IT infrastructure) but different core businesses — HPE is centered on servers, storage, and GreenLake cloud-as-a-service (with Aruba networking and HPC), while Cisco is the world's dominant enterprise networking company increasingly pivoting to software, security, and observability through the Splunk acquisition. Both face the challenge of hardware-to-software business model transitions in an enterprise IT landscape shifting to public cloud.

HPE vs CSCO is server, storage, and cloud infrastructure with AI server growth catalyst (HPE's GreenLake cloud services, Aruba networking, and Cray/Apollo AI server business benefiting from AI infrastructure demand — with Juniper acquisition pending to strengthen networking) versus dominant enterprise networking with software transition and security expansion (Cisco's entrenched networking market leadership pivoting to software subscriptions, unified with Splunk's SIEM and observability platform) — infrastructure cloud services versus networking-anchored security software consolidation.

Live analysis · updated 6/22/2026

HPE holds the edge across 4 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. HPE leads on both 1-year return (+164.86%) and forward P/E (11.86x vs 25.03x for CSCO), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. On fundamentals, HPE is growing revenue faster (40.00%), while CSCO maintains the higher operating margin (24.99%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for HPE (+35.27%) than for CSCO (+6.28%).

Normalized 1Y performance
HPE
CSCO
Recent returns
HPE
CSCO
Analyst price targets & sentiment
HPE
Price target range
analyst mean$64.13
current price$47.41
+35.3% upside to analyst mean
CSCO · 22 analysts
STRONG BUYHOLDSTRONG SELL
Buy (2.0/5.0)
Price target range
analyst low$56.00
analyst mean$127.05
current price$119.54
+6.3% upside to analyst mean
Who should consider this stock?
HPE may suit investors who:
  • See HPE's AI server business (Cray supercomputers, Apollo GPU servers) as a meaningful beneficiary of AI training infrastructure spending by national labs and large enterprises building private AI clusters
  • Value HPE GreenLake's as-a-service model as providing cloud economics for on-premises workloads that regulated industries cannot migrate to public cloud
  • Find HPE's lower valuation relative to Cisco appealing given the Juniper acquisition's potential to make HPE a stronger networking competitor, at the cost of short-term balance sheet pressure
CSCO may suit investors who:
  • Value Cisco's entrenched networking market leadership as a genuinely durable competitive moat — global networks built on Cisco hardware create switching costs that protect revenue for decades
  • See the Splunk acquisition as creating a powerful security and observability platform that cross-sells into Cisco's massive installed base of enterprise networking customers
  • Prefer Cisco's improving software revenue mix (approaching 55-60% software/services) as evidence of successful business model transition that should improve earnings quality and revenue visibility over time
Performance & AI score
MetricHPECSCO
AI score62.451.4
AI rank#126#373
Latest close$47.41$119.54
1M return+45.34%+3.61%
6M return+97.38%+57.29%
1Y return+164.86%+82.98%
$10,000 invested — hypothetical growth (dividends reinvested)

How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?

PeriodHPECSCO
1Y ago$26.66K (+166.6%)
started 2025-06-18
$18.16K (+81.6%)
started 2025-06-18
5Y ago$40.61K (+306.1%)
started 2021-06-21
$28.81K (+188.1%)
started 2021-06-21
10Y ago$71.79K (+617.9%)
started 2016-06-20
$75.67K (+656.7%)
started 2016-06-20

Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.

Valuation & upside potential
MetricHPECSCO
Market cap$62.78B$471.16B
Trailing P/E44.3139.85
Forward P/E11.8625.03
Price/SalesN/A4.70
EV/Revenue2.038.03
Analyst target$64.13$127.05
Target upside+35.27%+6.28%
Growth, profitability & risk
MetricHPECSCO
Revenue growth40.00%12.00%
Earnings growth-30.30%37.10%
EPS growth-30.30%+37.10%
FCF margin+9.89%+15.29%
Operating margin8.70%24.99%
Profit margin4.01%19.68%
ROIC proxy6.31%25.23%
Return on equity6.31%25.23%
Dividend yield1.20%1.41%
Beta1.451.00
Debt/equity84.0367.54
Current ratio1.090.93
Quick ratio0.570.70
Drawdown & downside risk

Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.

1Y risk snapshot
HPE max drawdown23.81%
CSCO max drawdown13.57%
HPE max wkly drop17.52%
CSCO max wkly drop11.44%
5Y risk snapshot
HPE max drawdown48.36%
CSCO max drawdown36.68%
HPE max wkly drop20.76%
CSCO max wkly drop13.61%
10Y risk snapshot
HPE max drawdown56.87%
CSCO max drawdown41.95%
HPE max wkly drop28.21%
CSCO max wkly drop16.10%
Performance metrics by period
PeriodMetricHPECSCO
1YGrowth+166.65%+81.56%
CAGR+167.02%+81.72%
Sharpe ratio2.161.95
Max drawdown23.81%13.57%
Max daily drop10.14%12.32%
Max wkly drop17.52%11.44%
5YGrowth+260.51%+153.51%
CAGR+29.29%+20.48%
Sharpe ratio0.740.70
Max drawdown48.36%36.68%
Max daily drop15.14%13.73%
Max wkly drop20.76%13.61%
10YGrowth+440.92%+448.91%
CAGR+18.40%+18.57%
Sharpe ratio0.520.62
Max drawdown56.87%41.95%
Max daily drop15.31%13.73%
Max wkly drop28.21%16.10%
Business comparison
CategoryHPECSCO
CompanyHewlett Packard Enterprise CompanyCisco Systems, Inc.
SectorTechnologyTechnology
IndustryN/ACommunication Equipment
Core businessHewlett Packard Enterprise provides enterprise IT infrastructure including servers (ProLiant and Apollo/Cray high-performance computing servers), storage (Alletra — all-flash and hybrid storage), networking (Aruba campus and data center networking), and GreenLake (HPE's cloud-as-a-service platform providing on-premises infrastructure with cloud consumption pricing). HPE also provides high-performance computing (HPC) and AI systems through its Cray supercomputer division (acquired 2019), serving national laboratories, research universities, and defense agencies. HPE's GreenLake platform is central to HPE's strategy of providing cloud economics for on-premises workloads.Cisco Systems is the world's largest enterprise networking company providing routers, switches, wireless networking (Catalyst), data center networking (Nexus), network security (Firepower), collaboration (Webex), and observability (AppDynamics, ThousandEyes). Cisco acquired Splunk in 2024 for $28B, adding security information and event management (SIEM) and observability to its portfolio. Cisco is transitioning from hardware-dominant revenue to more software and subscription-based revenue (Cisco's software and services revenue is now approximately 55-60% of total revenue). Cisco's networking equipment is installed in most of the world's enterprises, government agencies, and service providers.
Investor focusInvestors track HPE's GreenLake ARR growth (the cloud-as-a-service business), AI systems orders (Cray and Apollo AI servers for LLM training and inference), Aruba networking revenue and profitability, overall revenue growth and gross margin, and the strategic merits of HPE's planned acquisition of Juniper Networks.Investors track Cisco's software and subscription revenue growth (the transition from hardware to recurring revenue), Splunk integration and cross-sell synergies (security and observability), overall revenue growth and operating margin, and Webex (enterprise video conferencing competing with Zoom and Microsoft Teams).
HPE strengths
  • AI server demand is a near-term growth tailwind for HPE's high-performance computing business — HPE's Cray EX supercomputer and Apollo GPU server lines are used for AI model training; major national labs (Argonne, Oak Ridge, Lawrence Livermore) use HPE Cray systems; commercial AI companies ordering GPU clusters are also an HPE customer base
  • GreenLake provides cloud economics for enterprises that must keep workloads on-premises — regulated industries (healthcare, banking, government) cannot always migrate workloads to public cloud; GreenLake offers cloud-like consumption pricing with HPE managing the hardware lifecycle; ARR from GreenLake provides more predictable revenue than hardware sales
  • Juniper Networks acquisition (pending) would make HPE the #2 enterprise networking company — the planned acquisition of Juniper Networks (JNI) for $14B would give HPE AI-native networking capabilities (Juniper's Mist AI network management) and campus/branch networking scale to complement Aruba's WiFi strengths
CSCO strengths
  • Cisco's market leadership in enterprise networking is entrenched — Cisco has approximately 50%+ market share in enterprise routing and switching; the Cisco Certified Network Associate (CCNA) and CCNP professional certifications create a global workforce standardized on Cisco equipment; switching costs are extremely high (replacing installed networking is expensive, disruptive, and risky)
  • Splunk acquisition adds leading SIEM/observability to Cisco's security portfolio — Splunk is the market-leading security information and event management (SIEM) platform and IT observability platform; combining Splunk's security data platform with Cisco's network visibility provides comprehensive enterprise security analytics
  • Software and subscription transition improves revenue quality — Cisco's shift from hardware to software subscriptions and services creates more predictable annual recurring revenue; gross margins on software are 80-85% versus 60-65% on networking hardware
Risks to watch — HPE
  • HPE's revenue growth has been modest relative to software and cloud peers — hardware-centric businesses grow more slowly; HPE's revenue growth is typically low single digits to mid single digits, far below software competitors
  • Juniper acquisition debt load will constrain HPE's financial flexibility — $14B acquisition at an already-leveraged company creates near-term balance sheet pressure; integration execution risk is significant
  • Aruba networking competes with Cisco's dominant enterprise networking franchise — Cisco maintains approximately 50%+ market share in enterprise routing, switching, and wireless; Aruba has gained share but competing against Cisco in enterprise networking is a persistent challenge
Risks to watch — CSCO
  • Revenue growth has been disappointing — Cisco's revenue declined in FY2024 due to networking equipment inventory normalization after supply chain-driven overbooking in 2021-2022; revenue growth recovery has been gradual
  • Splunk integration is complex — $28B is Cisco's largest acquisition; integrating Splunk's sales force, products, and go-to-market with Cisco's existing security and networking business is a multi-year execution challenge
  • Competition from cloud networking (AWS Transit Gateway, Azure Virtual WAN) and software-defined networking (SD-WAN vendors like VMware VeloCloud, now Broadcom) challenges traditional Cisco hardware revenue — enterprises moving workloads to cloud reduce the need for on-premises Cisco routers and switches
Frequently asked questions
Cisco's market position: Cisco has approximately 50-55% market share in enterprise routing (connecting networks together) and switching (connecting devices within a network), making it the dominant enterprise networking vendor globally. Switching cost analysis: enterprise networks are built over years; the entire enterprise might have 500 Cisco switches and 100 Cisco routers deployed across offices, data centers, and branches; these devices are tightly configured with company-specific network policies, security rules, VLANs, and routing protocols; replacing the entire network would require: new hardware from an alternative vendor (Juniper, Aruba, Extreme Networks), weeks or months of planning and testing, temporary service disruptions during cutover, retraining of network engineering staff on new systems, potential compatibility issues with other systems. Why companies don't switch: even if an alternative vendor's equipment is cheaper, the total cost of switching (labor, downtime risk, learning curve) typically far exceeds the hardware savings; enterprises only switch networking vendors during major infrastructure refresh cycles (every 7-10 years) or when Cisco's pricing becomes extreme. The CCIE/CCNA certification ecosystem: Cisco's professional certification program (CCNA, CCNP, CCIE) has certified millions of network engineers worldwide; these engineers are trained on Cisco's CLI and configuration philosophy; enterprises hiring network engineers can more easily find Cisco-trained talent than talent for alternative vendors; this creates a workforce ecosystem that reinforces Cisco's dominance.
AI Prediction SignalNext 5 trading days
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HPE
+2.8%BUY
CSCO
+1.1%HOLD

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