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LRCX
Lam Research Corporation · Technology
$389.04
+42.31% this month
VERSUS
COMPARE
AMAT
Applied Materials, Inc. · Technology
$617.11
+51.66% this month
Scoreboard verdict
Across AI score, momentum, valuation, upside, operating margin
LRCX
3
AMAT
2
LRCX LEADS 3/5
Comparison scoreboard
LRCX LEADS 3/5
AI Score
LRCX 74.8
AMAT 72.8
1Y Return
LRCX +319.86%
AMAT +254.48%
Fwd P/E
LRCX 46.04
AMAT 34.89
Target Up.
LRCX -11.84%
AMAT -8.81%
Op. Margin
LRCX 35.04%
AMAT 31.90%
Metrics last refreshed: 6/20/2026
Quick take

LRCX vs AMAT Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside

Lam Research and Applied Materials are both critical process equipment suppliers, with Lam's leadership in plasma etch and ALD for NAND memory contrasting with AMAT's broader multi-category portfolio serving logic, memory, and display. AMAT is the largest equipment company by revenue with the most diversified book; Lam has a more focused NAND etch leadership with a higher cyclical beta to memory spending.

LRCX vs AMAT is a choice between focused NAND etch leadership with a CSBG services buffer (Lam) and the broadest equipment portfolio serving the entire semiconductor industry (Applied Materials) — Lam has a deeper NAND moat while AMAT has more balanced exposure across chip types and customer types.

Live analysis · updated 6/20/2026

LRCX holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. LRCX has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+319.86% vs +254.48%), though AMAT trades at the lower forward P/E (34.89x vs 46.04x). LRCX leads on both revenue growth (23.80%) and operating margin (35.04%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for AMAT (-8.81%) than for LRCX (-11.84%).

Normalized 1Y performance
LRCX
AMAT
Recent returns
LRCX
AMAT
Analyst price targets & sentiment
LRCX · 30 analysts
STRONG BUYHOLDSTRONG SELL
Buy (1.7/5.0)
Price target range
analyst low$70.00
analyst mean$323.38
current price$389.04
-11.8% upside to analyst mean
AMAT · 32 analysts
STRONG BUYHOLDSTRONG SELL
Buy (1.7/5.0)
Price target range
analyst low$152.00
analyst mean$517.28
current price$617.11
-8.8% upside to analyst mean
Who should consider this stock?
LRCX may suit investors who:
  • prefer a focused leadership position in plasma etch for NAND flash memory and advanced logic applications
  • value CSBG services revenue providing approximately 50% recurring income through equipment spending cycles
  • want maximum leverage to the 3D NAND layer count scaling roadmap that increases etch steps per wafer
  • are comfortable with higher NAND memory capex cycle exposure creating more revenue volatility than AMAT
AMAT may suit investors who:
  • prefer the largest and most diversified semiconductor equipment company with exposure to all chip types and markets
  • value materials engineering leadership at advanced transistor architecture nodes (GAA, CFET) as a differentiation point
  • want a large-cap semiconductor equipment holding where multiple equipment categories balance individual end-market cycles
  • are comfortable with broad China export restriction exposure and Tokyo Electron competition across all product lines
Performance & AI score
MetricLRCXAMAT
AI score74.872.8
AI rank#22#31
Latest close$389.04$617.11
1M return+42.31%+51.66%
6M return+151.03%+148.56%
1Y return+319.86%+254.48%
$10,000 invested — hypothetical growth (dividends reinvested)

How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?

PeriodLRCXAMAT
1Y ago$42.18K (+321.8%)
started 2025-06-18
$35.7K (+257.0%)
started 2025-06-18
5Y ago$64.23K (+542.3%)
started 2021-06-21
$49.47K (+394.7%)
started 2021-06-21
10Y ago$517.51K (+5075.1%)
started 2016-06-20
$319.73K (+3097.3%)
started 2016-06-20

Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.

Valuation & upside potential
MetricLRCXAMAT
Market cap$458.72B$450.37B
Trailing P/E69.4753.46
Forward P/E46.0434.89
Price/Sales6.454.76
EV/Revenue21.1115.48
Analyst target$323.38$517.28
Target upside-11.84%-8.81%
Growth, profitability & risk
MetricLRCXAMAT
Revenue growth23.80%11.40%
Earnings growth40.80%33.50%
EPS growth+40.80%+33.50%
FCF margin+20.07%+10.48%
Operating margin35.04%31.90%
Profit margin30.94%29.31%
ROIC proxy66.76%39.69%
Return on equity66.76%39.69%
Dividend yield0.28%0.37%
Beta1.871.67
Debt/equity35.2830.40
Current ratio2.542.51
Quick ratio1.701.62
Drawdown & downside risk

Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.

1Y risk snapshot
LRCX max drawdown20.10%
AMAT max drawdown21.60%
LRCX max wkly drop14.78%
AMAT max wkly drop15.30%
5Y risk snapshot
LRCX max drawdown56.85%
AMAT max drawdown55.14%
LRCX max wkly drop18.99%
AMAT max wkly drop16.59%
10Y risk snapshot
LRCX max drawdown56.85%
AMAT max drawdown55.14%
LRCX max wkly drop29.82%
AMAT max wkly drop25.36%
Performance metrics by period
PeriodMetricLRCXAMAT
1YGrowth+321.77%+257.04%
CAGR+322.64%+257.69%
Sharpe ratio2.902.75
Max drawdown20.10%21.60%
Max daily drop9.85%14.07%
Max wkly drop14.78%15.30%
5YGrowth+535.63%+378.89%
CAGR+44.84%+36.85%
Sharpe ratio0.930.83
Max drawdown56.85%55.14%
Max daily drop11.60%14.07%
Max wkly drop18.99%16.59%
10YGrowth+4785.76%+2783.05%
CAGR+47.57%+39.98%
Sharpe ratio0.990.90
Max drawdown56.85%55.14%
Max daily drop18.43%20.36%
Max wkly drop29.82%25.36%
Business comparison
CategoryLRCXAMAT
CompanyLam Research CorporationApplied Materials, Inc.
SectorTechnologyTechnology
IndustrySemiconductor Equipment & MaterialsSemiconductor Equipment & Materials
Core businessLam Research leads in plasma etch and ALD/CVD deposition for NAND flash, DRAM, and logic semiconductors. Its installed base generates CSBG recurring services revenue comprising approximately half of total sales. Lam's etch leadership is particularly strong for 3D NAND high-aspect-ratio structures where its Kiyo and Sense.i tools process multiple wafers simultaneously for high throughput.Applied Materials is the world's largest semiconductor equipment company by revenue, with a diversified portfolio spanning CVD/PVD deposition, etch, ion implantation, thermal processing, CMP (chemical mechanical planarization), and process control. AMAT serves logic (TSMC, Intel, Samsung Foundry), memory (NAND, DRAM), and display markets. Its Materials Engineering division develops the most capital equipment categories of any semiconductor equipment vendor, making it the broadest-based equipment supplier.
Investor focusInvestors track NAND memory capital expenditure cycles (Lam's revenue is more NAND-weighted than AMAT), CSBG services revenue stability, China export restrictions, and etch/deposition intensity per wafer as layer counts increase in 3D NAND.Investors focus on AMAT's position in advanced logic foundry (TSMC, Intel 18A), materials-enabled scaling advantage in new transistor architectures (GAA, CFET), and gross margin improvement as the services mix grows within AMAT's AGS (Applied Global Services) segment.
LRCX strengths
  • Dominant in plasma etch with proprietary high-aspect-ratio etch process recipes embedded in customer production flows
  • CSBG services revenue (50% of total) provides stable recurring income regardless of new equipment cycles
  • 3D NAND layer count growth structurally increases etch and deposition steps per wafer — directly benefiting Lam
AMAT strengths
  • Broadest equipment portfolio in the industry across deposition, etch, implant, thermal, and CMP — essential for every chip type
  • Materials engineering at the atomic layer differentiates AMAT in new transistor architecture transitions (FinFET to GAA) where new materials are required
  • AGS (Applied Global Services) provides large and growing recurring revenue from an enormous installed base of equipment worldwide
Risks to watch — LRCX
  • NAND flash concentration creates more revenue cyclicality than AMAT's more diversified equipment portfolio
  • AMAT competes in CVD deposition and is investing in etch capabilities, creating competitive pressure on Lam's process boundaries
  • China export restrictions have meaningfully reduced Lam's accessible Chinese memory customer universe
Risks to watch — AMAT
  • Broadest portfolio means AMAT is more exposed to overall semiconductor industry capex cycles rather than having Lam's specific NAND etch moat
  • China export restrictions have significantly impacted AMAT's China revenue, its historically largest geographic market
  • Tokyo Electron competes across nearly all AMAT equipment categories, creating meaningful competition at every major chip type
Frequently asked questions
At the bottom of the NAND memory capex cycle, Lam often offers higher recovery upside due to its NAND concentration. At the peak of logic/foundry investment cycles (e.g., TSMC N2, Intel 18A), AMAT benefits more broadly. Long-term, both are exceptional businesses — AMAT's broader portfolio provides more consistent earnings growth while Lam's NAND etch moat provides a highly defensible market position. Most investors benefit from owning both as semiconductor equipment core holdings.
AI Prediction SignalNext 5 trading days
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LRCX
+2.8%BUY
AMAT
+1.1%HOLD

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