AZPN vs PTC Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
AZPN (Aspen Technology, acquired by Emerson 2023) and PTC (PTC Inc.) are both specialized industrial software companies with deep engineering workflow integration and high switching costs — AspenTech dominated process industry simulation and optimization (chemicals, oil and gas, pharma) with models so embedded that engineers essentially never switch, while PTC serves discrete manufacturers with Creo CAD, Windchill PLM, and ThingWorx industrial IoT software covering the design-through-operational lifecycle of engineered products.
AZPN vs PTC (historical/current) is process industry simulation software with the deepest engineering workflow switching costs in enterprise software (AspenTech's HYSYS/Aspen Plus models representing years of plant-specific engineering work, non-discretionary ROI for process plant optimization — Emerson strategic ownership constraining independent software roadmap) versus discrete manufacturing CAD/PLM/IoT platform with engineering workflow and industrial IoT market growth (PTC's Creo parametric CAD, Windchill PLM ecosystem, ThingWorx industrial IoT platform, and Industry 4.0 digitization — multi-vendor CAD competition and IoT platform competition from Microsoft/AWS).
AZPN and PTC are closely matched — they split the tracked metrics evenly.
- →Valued AspenTech's extreme software switching costs — chemical engineers' process simulation models built over years in HYSYS and Aspen Plus create customer retention near 100% absent extraordinary circumstances
- →Recognized process industry optimization software ROI as the highest in enterprise software — a $2M annual software cost generating $50M in process efficiency savings creates non-discretionary budget commitment
- →Anticipated Emerson Electric's strategic interest in AspenTech given Emerson's industrial automation focus and AspenTech's complementary asset optimization capabilities — the Emerson acquisition ultimately validated this thesis at a significant premium
- →Want industrial software exposure through PTC's CAD (Creo), PLM (Windchill), and industrial IoT (ThingWorx) platform serving the full lifecycle of engineered products for discrete manufacturers
- →Value PTC's Creo CAD's switching costs — parametric 3D CAD models represent significant engineering investment that engineers don't migrate lightly, providing high retention in the engineering software foundation
- →Believe ThingWorx industrial IoT and the Rockwell Automation partnership position PTC for the Industry 4.0 digitization wave connecting factory equipment to digital analytics platforms
| Metric | AZPN | PTC |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | N/A | 45.9 |
| AI rank | N/A | #693 |
| Latest close | N/A | $114.75 |
| 1M return | N/A | -20.97% |
| 6M return | N/A | -34.54% |
| 1Y return | N/A | -31.50% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | AZPN | PTC |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | N/A | $6.89K (-31.1%) started 2025-06-18 |
| 5Y ago | N/A | $8.52K (-14.8%) started 2021-06-21 |
| 10Y ago | N/A | $29.44K (+194.4%) started 2016-06-20 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | AZPN | PTC |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | N/A | $13.25B |
| Trailing P/E | N/A | 11.02 |
| Forward P/E | N/A | 13.27 |
| Price/Sales | 14.84 | 8.71 |
| EV/Revenue | N/A | 4.74 |
| Analyst target | N/A | $180.10 |
| Target upside | N/A | +56.95% |
| Metric | AZPN | PTC |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | N/A | 21.70% |
| Earnings growth | N/A | 268.90% |
| EPS growth | N/A | +268.90% |
| FCF margin | N/A | +32.89% |
| Operating margin | N/A | 41.63% |
| Profit margin | N/A | 41.58% |
| ROIC proxy | N/A | 34.40% |
| Return on equity | N/A | 34.40% |
| Dividend yield | N/A | N/A |
| Beta | 0.14 | 0.97 |
| Debt/equity | N/A | 35.78 |
| Current ratio | N/A | 1.23 |
| Quick ratio | N/A | 1.06 |
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | AZPN | PTC |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | N/A | -31.11% |
| CAGR | N/A | -31.15% | |
| Sharpe ratio | N/A | -0.99 | |
| Max drawdown | N/A | 47.50% | |
| Max daily drop | N/A | 12.36% | |
| Max wkly drop | N/A | 17.02% | |
| 5Y | Growth | N/A | -14.78% |
| CAGR | N/A | -3.15% | |
| Sharpe ratio | N/A | -0.10 | |
| Max drawdown | N/A | 47.50% | |
| Max daily drop | N/A | 12.36% | |
| Max wkly drop | N/A | 17.02% | |
| 10Y | Growth | N/A | +194.38% |
| CAGR | N/A | +11.41% | |
| Sharpe ratio | N/A | 0.36 | |
| Max drawdown | N/A | 54.37% | |
| Max daily drop | N/A | 20.41% | |
| Max wkly drop | N/A | 26.00% |
| Category | AZPN | PTC |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Aspen Technology Inc. (acquired by Emerson Electric, 2023 — no longer independently traded) | PTC Inc. |
| Sector | Technology - Industrial Process Optimization and Simulation Software (Historical) | Technology |
| Industry | N/A | Software - Application |
| Core business | Aspen Technology (AspenTech) was a leading provider of enterprise software for the process industries — chemicals, oil and gas, engineering and construction, pharmaceuticals, and energy. AspenTech's software portfolio included: aspenONE Engineering (process simulation, process optimization, economics evaluation — used to design and optimize chemical plants, refineries, and pharmaceutical manufacturing processes); aspenONE Manufacturing and Supply Chain (production scheduling, quality management, energy management for operating plants); and Aspen Process Pulse (real-time production intelligence). AspenTech was deeply embedded in the process engineering workflow — chemical engineers use AspenTech's HYSYS and Aspen Plus simulation tools to design and optimize process units; these models represent years of work and are deeply integrated into engineering practices. Emerson Electric acquired AspenTech in 2023 by completing a transaction merging AspenTech with certain Emerson software assets at a $11B+ valuation, giving Emerson majority control; AspenTech ceased trading as a fully independent public company. | PTC Inc. is a software company providing: Computer-Aided Design (CAD) — Creo (formerly Pro/E) parametric 3D CAD software for product design engineers in discrete manufacturing (aerospace, automotive, consumer electronics, industrial equipment); Product Lifecycle Management (PLM) — Windchill PLM for managing product data, design documents, and engineering change management across the product development process; Industrial IoT — ThingWorx industrial IoT platform (connecting industrial equipment for remote monitoring, predictive maintenance, and operational analytics); and Vuforia (augmented reality platform for industrial training, remote service, and work instructions). PTC serves discrete manufacturers (companies that make physical products with bills of materials) rather than AspenTech's process industry focus (chemicals, oil and gas). PTC's ARR (Annual Recurring Revenue) has been growing as it transitions from perpetual license to SaaS/subscription. |
| Investor focus | Historically investors tracked AspenTech's annual contract value (ACV) growth, customer retention, the transition from term licenses to SaaS subscriptions, and expansion within existing process industry customers — engineers who use HYSYS or Aspen Plus rarely change simulation tools due to model migration difficulty. | Investors track PTC's ARR growth, Creo and Windchill retention rates, ThingWorx IoT ACV growth, and the industrial IoT and digital twin market expansion opportunity. |
- →Process simulation switching costs are extremely high — a chemical plant's process simulation models (built in HYSYS, Aspen Plus, or ACOL) represent years of engineering work; models capture proprietary process configurations, calibrated equipment parameters, and validated plant data; migrating to a different simulation tool would require rebuilding every model from scratch — a multi-year effort that no engineering organization would undertake without extraordinary reason
- →Process industry domain expertise — AspenTech's software embeds decades of chemical engineering knowledge in the tool's thermodynamic models, equipment models, and solver algorithms; replicating this technical depth requires decades of investment that generic CAD or ERP vendors cannot easily match
- →Capital project ROI is enormous — a 1-2% improvement in process efficiency for a large refinery or chemical plant is worth tens of millions of dollars annually; AspenTech's optimization software pays for itself rapidly, making the software budget non-discretionary for process engineers
- →Creo CAD market position with embedded engineering workflows creates high switching costs similar to AspenTech — engineers who learn Creo parametric modeling accumulate years of model assets and skills; changing CAD software requires retraining engineers and migrating models; Creo's parametric modeling approach (versus Solidworks' more history-based approach) creates a loyal engineering user base
- →PLM and CAD ecosystem creates expanding cross-sell platform — companies using Creo CAD naturally integrate Windchill PLM to manage design data; adding ThingWorx IoT expands from design-time to operational-time product data; the combined platform addresses the full product lifecycle from design through manufacturing and service
- →Industrial IoT and digital twin tailwind — manufacturers investing in Industry 4.0 initiatives (connecting factory equipment, predictive maintenance, digital twins of physical assets) are natural ThingWorx IoT customers; PTC has established IoT partnerships with Rockwell Automation (a major industrial automation company)
- →Emerson acquisition changed AspenTech's strategic autonomy — as a Emerson Electric subsidiary, AspenTech's product roadmap and go-to-market strategy are influenced by Emerson's broader industrial automation objectives; independent software strategy decisions became constrained by parent company priorities
- →Oil and gas capital spending cyclicality affects engineering software demand — refineries and chemical plants invest in new process design software during capacity expansion; capex cycles tied to commodity prices affect AspenTech's growth
- →SaaS model transition from perpetual licenses modestly disrupted near-term revenue recognition during the transition period
- →CAD market competition from Siemens NX and Dassault Systèmes CATIA in aerospace/automotive, and SolidWorks in mechanical engineering — PTC's Creo competes in all these markets; competitive dynamics affect Creo's ability to grow seat count
- →ThingWorx IoT platform competes with well-funded alternatives — Microsoft Azure IoT Hub, AWS IoT, and Siemens Mindsphere are large-vendor IoT platforms competing for industrial IoT spending; ThingWorx's differentiation is its deep industrial manufacturing integration vs. general-purpose cloud IoT platforms
- →Rockwell partnership concentration risk — PTC's IoT growth strategy relies heavily on Rockwell Automation's FactoryTalk Manufacturing Operations Management and go-to-market partnership; changes in the Rockwell relationship would affect ThingWorx growth
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