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Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) Stock Analysis

E-commerce / CloudE-commerce, Cloud Computing & Digital Advertising
$232.79as of 2026-06-22

BriMind AI Score

Proprietary
60
Moderate
Price CAGR
21.1%
1Y Return
+16.5%
Analyst Upside
+28.1%
Rev Growth
16.6%

Score based on historical price CAGR, revenue growth, analyst upside, and valuation factors. Updated daily.

BriMind 1-Year Price Target

$281.52+20.9% potential
Bear Case
$175.85
Bull Case
$375.23
Model Confidence90%

BriMind AI combines DCF, momentum, and analyst consensus to project a 12-month price target.

About Amazon.com Inc.

Amazon is the world's largest e-commerce retailer and cloud computing provider (AWS). The company operates across online retail, physical stores (Whole Foods), third-party marketplace services, subscription services (Prime), digital advertising, and cloud infrastructure. AWS generates the majority of operating income despite representing only ~17% of total revenue, effectively subsidizing the lower-margin retail operations.

How Amazon.com Makes Money

Amazon operates a multi-segment business: North America and International e-commerce (1P retail and 3P marketplace fees, ~83% of revenue), and AWS cloud services (~17% of revenue but ~60%+ of operating income). Additional revenue comes from advertising (~$50B run rate), Prime subscriptions (200M+ members), and devices. The company prioritizes free cash flow over net income and reinvests aggressively.

Amazon.com Revenue & Profitability Breakdown

This chart shows how Amazon.com's revenue flows through to profit. Each row deducts a layer of costs: first the direct cost of making products/services (Cost of Revenue), then operating expenses like marketing and R&D, then taxes. What remains at the bottom is net income — the actual profit shareholders own. High gross and net margins indicate a business with strong pricing power and efficiency.

Revenue
$742.78B
Cost of Revenue
-$366.90B
Gross Profit
$375.87B50.6% margin
Operating Expenses
-$278.27B
Operating Income
$97.60B13.1% margin
Tax & Other
-$6.80B
Net Income
$90.80B12.2% margin
Gross Margin
50.6%
Operating Margin
13.1%
Net Margin
12.2%
EBITDA Margin
19.4%

Key Financial Metrics

A snapshot of the company's valuation, growth, profitability, and financial health. Key things to look at: P/E ratio measures how much you pay for $1 of earnings (lower = cheaper, but fast-growing companies command higher P/E); Free Cash Flow is the cash left after running the business — companies with strong FCF can buy back shares, pay dividends, or invest; Debt/Equity shows how leveraged the company is (high debt can be risky); Return on Equity tells you how efficiently the company generates profit from shareholders' money.

Market Cap
$2.63T
Enterprise Value
$2.33T
P/E (Trailing)
31.66
P/E (Forward)
24.73
EV / EBITDA
18.48
Price / Sales
3.49
Price / Book
7.41
Revenue
$742.78B
Revenue Growth
16.6%
Earnings Growth
74.8%
EBITDA
$126.14B
Gross Margin
50.6%
Operating Margin
13.1%
Net Margin
12.2%
Return on Equity
24.3%
Return on Assets
6.8%
Free Cash Flow
$9.81B
Total Cash
$94.56B
Total Debt
$157.95B
Debt / Equity
53.30
Current Ratio
1.18
Quick Ratio
0.97
Beta
1.44
Dividend Yield
None
Payout Ratio
0.0%
Book Value / Share
$41.09

Wall Street Analyst Consensus

Professional analysts at investment banks set 12-month price targets after researching the company's earnings, competitive position, and industry trends. Strong Buy / Buy means the majority expect meaningful upside. Hold means analysts see fair value near the current price — not a sell signal, but limited near-term upside expected. The mean target is the average of all analyst price targets; the range shows where the most optimistic and most cautious analysts stand.

Consensus RatingStrong Buy(65 analysts)
SellStrong Buy
Low Target$195.00-16.2%
Mean Target$312.99+34.5% upside
High Target$305.00+31.0%

Intrinsic Value Estimates for AMZN

Intrinsic value is what a stock is truly worth based on the company's fundamentals — independent of what the market currently prices it at. We use multiple models because no single formula is perfect: each captures different aspects of a business. If multiple models agree the stock is undervalued, that convergence is a stronger signal. A stock trading well below its intrinsic value may be a bargain; one far above may carry more risk.

DCF Model (10yr)
$19.40
-91.7% vs current
Discounts 10 years of projected free cash flow back to today's dollars (5% growth, 10% discount rate). Best for companies generating consistent cash.
Fair Value Range
$19.40 – $19.40
Average Estimate
$19.40
Potential Downside
-91.7%

⚠️ Intrinsic value estimates use simplified models (Graham, DCF, P/E) and conservative assumptions. They should be used as one input among many — not as sole buy/sell guidance. For advanced analysis, see the full platform.

AMZN Investment Case: Bull vs Bear

Every investment has two sides. The bull case outlines the key reasons the stock could outperform — competitive advantages, growth catalysts, and market tailwinds. The bear case highlights the most significant risks that could cause the investment to underperform. Good investors read both sides carefully before deciding. A strong bull case with manageable bear risks typically makes for a more compelling investment.

Bull Case (Reasons to Buy)

  • AWS is the #1 cloud platform with ~31% market share, growing 17-20%+ with AI workloads accelerating — cloud and AI together represent a $1T+ TAM.
  • Advertising is Amazon's hidden gem — a $50B+ run-rate business growing 20%+ with extremely high margins, rivaling Meta and Google in scale.
  • Regionalized fulfillment network has reduced delivery costs while improving speed — same-day and next-day delivery are becoming the norm, widening the moat.
  • 200M+ Prime members create a sticky ecosystem with high lifetime value, cross-selling across retail, streaming, pharmacy, and grocery.

Bear Case (Key Risks)

  • Retail margins remain thin (3-5% operating margin) and are under pressure from Temu, Shein, and Walmart's e-commerce growth.
  • AWS growth has decelerated from 30%+ to high teens as the cloud market matures and competition from Azure and Google Cloud intensifies.
  • Massive capex requirements ($70B+ annually) for AI infrastructure, fulfillment centers, and logistics constrain free cash flow.
  • Regulatory risk from FTC antitrust lawsuit targeting marketplace practices and self-preferencing could lead to structural changes.

What to Watch: AMZN Key Metrics

AWS revenue growth & operating margin
Advertising revenue growth
North America retail operating margin
Free cash flow
Capital expenditure trend

AMZN Stock — Frequently Asked Questions

Compare AMZN with Peers

AMZN vs GOOGLAmazon vs Google — AI, Cloud & Advertising Compared
AMZN vs MSFTAmazon vs Microsoft — Which Cloud Giant Is the Better B
WMT vs AMZNWalmart vs Amazon — Physical Retail vs E-Commerce Giant
SHOP vs AMZNShopify vs Amazon — Merchant Platform vs Marketplace
EBAY vs AMZNeBay vs Amazon — Marketplace Veteran vs E-Commerce Tita
MSFT vs AMZNMicrosoft vs Amazon — Azure vs AWS: Which Cloud Giant W
GOOGL vs AMZNGoogle vs Amazon — GCP vs AWS Plus Advertising vs Retai
AMZN vs WMTAmazon vs Walmart — E-Commerce Giant vs Omnichannel Ret

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