LIVE
AMZN
Amazon.com, Inc. · Technology
$244.39
-5.76% this month
VERSUS
⟷
COMPARE
WMT
Walmart Inc. · Consumer Staples
$117.18
-12.68% this month
Scoreboard verdict
Across AI score, momentum, valuation, upside, operating margin
AMZN
4
WMT
1
Comparison scoreboard
AMZN LEADS 4/5AI Score
AMZN ✓60.6
WMT 53.3
1Y Return
AMZN +13.77%
WMT ✓+24.33%
Fwd P/E
AMZN ✓24.73
WMT 35.65
Target Up.
AMZN ✓+28.07%
WMT +18.32%
Op. Margin
AMZN ✓13.14%
WMT 4.22%
Metrics last refreshed: 6/22/2026
Quick take
AMZN vs WMT Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Amazon and Walmart are the two dominant US consumer commerce companies competing across retail, grocery, advertising, and membership. Amazon leads in e-commerce and cloud computing; Walmart leads in physical grocery and everyday essentials retail. Amazon's AWS profit subsidizes retail investment; Walmart is transforming retail operations into advertising and membership revenue. They increasingly compete across grocery delivery, advertising, and membership programs.
AMZN vs WMT is the e-commerce marketplace and cloud infrastructure dual-business where AWS profits fuel retail investment and advertising creates the third major profit driver (Amazon) versus the world's largest physical retailer transforming grocery dominance into omnichannel membership and retail media advertising revenue (Walmart) — cloud-subsidized retail and tech platform vs physical store scale monetizing into digital margins.
Live analysis · updated 6/22/2026
AMZN holds the edge across 4 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. WMT has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+24.33% vs +13.77%), though AMZN trades at the lower forward P/E (24.73x vs 35.65x). AMZN leads on both revenue growth (16.60%) and operating margin (13.14%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for AMZN (+28.07%) than for WMT (+18.32%).
Normalized 1Y performance
AMZN
WMT
Recent returns
AMZN
WMT
Analyst price targets & sentiment
AMZN · 65 analysts
STRONG BUYHOLDSTRONG SELL
Strong Buy (1.4/5.0)
Price target range
analyst low$195.00
analyst mean$312.99
current price$244.39
+28.1% upside to analyst mean
WMT · 40 analysts
STRONG BUYHOLDSTRONG SELL
Strong Buy (1.5/5.0)
Price target range
analyst low$64.00
analyst mean$138.65
current price$117.18
+18.3% upside to analyst mean
Who should consider this stock?
AMZN may suit investors who:
- →prefer the combined cloud market leader (AWS) and largest e-commerce marketplace with advertising as an accelerating third profit pillar
- →value Amazon's unique AWS profitability subsiding retail expansion — other retailers don't have a cloud business funding their competitive investments
- →want technology company exposure with retail scale rather than pure retail exposure — AWS makes Amazon structurally different from any other retail business
- →are comfortable with AWS market share competition from Azure and Google, thin retail margins, and antitrust regulatory scrutiny globally
WMT may suit investors who:
- →prefer the world's largest retailer with grocery dominance creating daily consumer traffic and omnichannel leadership impossible to replicate from a digital-first starting point
- →value Walmart's transformation from low-margin retail to higher-margin membership (Walmart+) and advertising (Walmart Connect/Vizio) revenue streams improving structural margins
- →want defensive consumer staples exposure with Walmart's EDLP model and grocery strength maintaining resilience through economic cycles
- →are comfortable with Amazon grocery competition, e-commerce acceleration investments needed to defend share, and international expansion complexity
Performance & AI score
| Metric | AMZN | WMT |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | 60.6 | 53.3 |
| AI rank | #149 | #305 |
| Latest close | $244.39 | $117.18 |
| 1M return | -5.76% | -12.68% |
| 6M return | +10.45% | +1.31% |
| 1Y return | +13.77% | +24.33% |
$10,000 invested — hypothetical growth (dividends reinvested)
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | AMZN | WMT |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $11.5K (+15.0%) started 2025-06-18 | $12.32K (+23.2%) started 2025-06-18 |
| 5Y ago | $14.15K (+41.5%) started 2021-06-21 | $28.84K (+188.4%) started 2021-06-21 |
| 10Y ago | $68.46K (+584.6%) started 2016-06-20 | $69.43K (+594.3%) started 2016-06-20 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
Valuation & upside potential
| Metric | AMZN | WMT |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $2.63T | $932.53B |
| Trailing P/E | 31.66 | 41.26 |
| Forward P/E | 24.73 | 35.65 |
| Price/Sales | 3.49 | 1.14 |
| EV/Revenue | 3.66 | 1.38 |
| Analyst target | $312.99 | $138.65 |
| Target upside | +28.07% | +18.32% |
Growth, profitability & risk
| Metric | AMZN | WMT |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | 16.60% | 7.30% |
| Earnings growth | 74.80% | 19.40% |
| EPS growth | +74.80% | +19.40% |
| FCF margin | +1.32% | +0.95% |
| Operating margin | 13.14% | 4.22% |
| Profit margin | 12.22% | 3.14% |
| ROIC proxy | 24.29% | 24.13% |
| Return on equity | 24.29% | 24.13% |
| Dividend yield | N/A | 0.84% |
| Beta | 1.44 | 0.60 |
| Debt/equity | 53.30 | 74.82 |
| Current ratio | 1.18 | 0.77 |
| Quick ratio | 0.97 | 0.19 |
Drawdown & downside risk
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
1Y risk snapshot
AMZN max drawdown21.74%
WMT max drawdown15.75%
AMZN max wkly drop14.09%
WMT max wkly drop11.67%
5Y risk snapshot
AMZN max drawdown56.15%
WMT max drawdown25.74%
AMZN max wkly drop20.35%
WMT max wkly drop19.49%
10Y risk snapshot
AMZN max drawdown56.15%
WMT max drawdown25.74%
AMZN max wkly drop20.35%
WMT max wkly drop19.49%
Performance metrics by period
| Period | Metric | AMZN | WMT |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | +15.00% | +23.23% |
| CAGR | +15.02% | +23.27% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.46 | 0.81 | |
| Max drawdown | 21.74% | 15.75% | |
| Max daily drop | 8.27% | 7.27% | |
| Max wkly drop | 14.09% | 11.67% | |
| 5Y | Growth | +41.51% | +172.44% |
| CAGR | +7.20% | +22.23% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.25 | 0.83 | |
| Max drawdown | 56.15% | 25.74% | |
| Max daily drop | 14.05% | 11.38% | |
| Max wkly drop | 20.35% | 19.49% | |
| 10Y | Growth | +584.56% | +482.04% |
| CAGR | +21.22% | +19.27% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.62 | 0.71 | |
| Max drawdown | 56.15% | 25.74% | |
| Max daily drop | 14.05% | 11.38% | |
| Max wkly drop | 20.35% | 19.49% |
Business comparison
| Category | AMZN | WMT |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Amazon.com, Inc. | Walmart Inc. |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Consumer Defensive |
| Industry | Internet Retail | Discount Stores |
| Core business | Amazon is the world's largest e-commerce marketplace and the world's largest cloud computing platform (AWS). Amazon's retail business sells directly and through marketplace third-party sellers. AWS provides cloud infrastructure services to enterprises, startups, and governments. Amazon's advertising business (serving ads on Amazon's properties) is one of the fastest-growing major ad platforms. Amazon also operates Prime membership, Whole Foods, Alexa, and Kuiper satellite internet. AWS generates the majority of Amazon's operating profit despite being a smaller share of total revenue. | Walmart is the world's largest retailer by revenue, operating 10,500+ stores globally under Walmart, Sam's Club, and international banners. Walmart's US stores serve 90% of Americans weekly through its low-price everyday model (EDLP — Everyday Low Prices). Walmart has aggressively expanded omnichannel — grocery pickup and delivery, Walmart+membership, and Flipkart (India e-commerce). Walmart's advertising business (Walmart Connect) is growing rapidly as it monetizes retail media from its massive store and digital traffic. Walmart acquired Vizio to expand its connected TV advertising. |
| Investor focus | Investors track AWS revenue growth and operating margin, advertising revenue growth, North America and International retail operating margin improvement, and Prime membership engagement. | Investors track same-store sales (comp growth), grocery market share, Walmart+ membership, advertising revenue growth, and e-commerce sales acceleration. |
AMZN strengths
- →AWS is the market-leading cloud platform with 31%+ market share — the most profitable and strategically important segment in Amazon's portfolio
- →Amazon advertising is the world's third-largest digital ad platform — uniquely positioned at the point of purchase intent, commanding high CPMs from brands advertising to Amazon shoppers
- →Prime membership creates a flywheel locking in the most valuable consumers — Prime members spend 4x+ more than non-Prime customers and renew at high rates
WMT strengths
- →Grocery market leadership creates daily traffic — Walmart's dominant grocery position ensures weekly consumer visits that no pure e-commerce or non-food retailer can match
- →Scale in procurement creates unmatched cost advantages — Walmart's buying power with suppliers compresses COGS below what competitors can match
- →Walmart+ membership and retail media monetization are transforming Walmart from pure-play retail into a membership and advertising platform — improving margins structurally
Risks to watch — AMZN
- →AWS faces persistent growth competition from Azure (Microsoft) and Google Cloud — both growing faster than AWS in recent periods potentially closing market share gaps
- →Retail margins in North America and International are improving but still thin relative to AWS — retail scale is strategic but low-margin
- →Regulatory antitrust scrutiny of Amazon's marketplace practices and AWS market power is increasing globally
Risks to watch — WMT
- →Amazon's grocery ambitions directly challenge Walmart's core strength — Amazon Fresh, Whole Foods, and delivery compete for the grocery share Walmart dominates in physical stores
- →Walmart's non-grocery retail competes with Amazon marketplace — as consumers shift discretionary purchases online, Walmart must continuously invest in e-commerce to retain share
- →Sam's Club competition with Costco in warehouse retail is fierce — both serve value-seeking higher-income consumers with membership models
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