SRPT vs SMMT Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
SRPT (Sarepta Therapeutics) and SMMT (Summit Therapeutics) are both at key inflection points in rare disease and oncology — Sarepta has an approved DMD gene therapy (Elevidys) and multiple exon-skipping drugs generating revenue while navigating label expansion, while Summit is clinical-stage with ivonescimab potentially being the first drug to outperform Merck's Keytruda in lung cancer if global trial data confirms Chinese Phase 3 results. Sarepta has established revenue; Summit has binary transformative upside.
SRPT vs SMMT is commercial rare disease gene therapy leader in DMD with proven exon-skipping franchise (Sarepta's Elevidys gene therapy and multiple exon-skipping drugs generating revenue in the Duchenne muscular dystrophy market, with label expansion as the near-term catalyst) versus clinical-stage oncology company with potentially transformative bispecific antibody data in non-small cell lung cancer (Summit's ivonescimab showing superiority over Keytruda in Chinese Phase 3 trials, pending global confirmatory data that could unlock the world's largest oncology opportunity) — commercial rare disease execution versus binary oncology development bet.
SMMT holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. SRPT has delivered stronger 1-year price return (-15.60% vs -31.80%), though SMMT trades at the lower forward P/E (-15.61x vs 6.43x). Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for SMMT (+104.87%) than for SRPT (+25.50%).
- →Want rare disease biopharmaceutical exposure with established revenue from DMD gene therapy and exon-skipping products, reducing pure clinical binary risk
- →Believe Elevidys gene therapy will receive full label expansion (to all DMD patients, potentially), dramatically expanding the addressable patient population and commercial revenue
- →Value Sarepta's comprehensive DMD portfolio and manufacturing investment as creating a durable competitive position in rare muscle disease that would be difficult for competitors to replicate
- →See ivonescimab's Phase 3 data as a genuine scientific signal that bispecific PD-1/VEGF inhibition outperforms checkpoint inhibition alone in NSCLC, with global trial confirmation being the key remaining binary event
- →Are comfortable with clinical binary risk in exchange for exposure to potentially the first drug to outperform Keytruda in lung cancer — a commercial opportunity in the world's largest oncology market
- →Believe the HARMONi-2 data's magnitude (ivonescimab more than doubling PFS versus Keytruda) is too large to be explainable by chance or ethnic population differences, increasing confidence in global trial success
| Metric | SRPT | SMMT |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | 24.7 | 30.7 |
| AI rank | #3030 | #2233 |
| Latest close | $17.53 | $13.75 |
| 1M return | +5.35% | -13.25% |
| 6M return | -17.08% | -19.17% |
| 1Y return | -15.60% | -31.80% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | SRPT | SMMT |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $8.44K (-15.6%) started 2025-06-18 | $6.82K (-31.8%) started 2025-06-18 |
| 5Y ago | $2.21K (-77.9%) started 2021-06-18 | $20.8K (+108.0%) started 2021-06-18 |
| 10Y ago | $9.82K (-1.8%) started 2016-06-20 | $17.7K (+77.0%) started 2016-06-20 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | SRPT | SMMT |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $1.85B | $10.67B |
| Trailing P/E | 50.09 | N/A |
| Forward P/E | 6.43 | -15.61 |
| Price/Sales | 0.85 | 15031.32 |
| EV/Revenue | 0.94 | N/A |
| Analyst target | $22.00 | $28.17 |
| Target upside | +25.50% | +104.87% |
| Metric | SRPT | SMMT |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | -1.90% | N/A |
| Earnings growth | N/A | N/A |
| EPS growth | N/A | N/A |
| FCF margin | +9.38% | N/A |
| Operating margin | N/A | N/A |
| Profit margin | 2.98% | 0.00% |
| ROIC proxy | 4.91% | -270.95% |
| Return on equity | 4.91% | -270.95% |
| Dividend yield | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Beta | 0.20 | -1.31 |
| Debt/equity | 69.57 | 3.67 |
| Current ratio | 4.63 | 7.41 |
| Quick ratio | 2.41 | 7.19 |
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | SRPT | SMMT |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | -15.60% | -31.80% |
| CAGR | -15.61% | -31.81% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.27 | -0.18 | |
| Max drawdown | 45.70% | 55.49% | |
| Max daily drop | 35.91% | 25.15% | |
| Max wkly drop | 41.37% | 27.10% | |
| 5Y | Growth | -77.91% | +108.02% |
| CAGR | -26.07% | +15.78% | |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.13 | 0.62 | |
| Max drawdown | 92.72% | 91.78% | |
| Max daily drop | 42.12% | 47.99% | |
| Max wkly drop | 47.84% | 47.36% | |
| 10Y | Growth | -1.79% | +76.96% |
| CAGR | -0.18% | +5.88% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.29 | 0.53 | |
| Max drawdown | 93.33% | 95.75% | |
| Max daily drop | 51.29% | 79.84% | |
| Max wkly drop | 51.73% | 82.17% |
| Category | SRPT | SMMT |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. | Summit Therapeutics Inc. |
| Sector | Healthcare - Rare Disease Gene Therapy | Healthcare - Clinical-Stage Oncology |
| Industry | N/A | N/A |
| Core business | Sarepta Therapeutics is a commercial-stage rare disease biopharmaceutical company focused primarily on Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD), a fatal genetic muscle-wasting disease affecting approximately 1 in 3,500 male births. Sarepta's approved products include Elevidys (delandistrogene moxeparvovec-rokl), a gene therapy providing a functional copy of a shortened dystrophin gene approved for DMD patients aged 4-5 years (with broader approval under review), and exon-skipping drugs eteplirsen (Exondys 51), golodirsen (Vyondys 53), casimersen (Amondys 45), and viltolarsen (Viltepso) approved for specific DMD mutation subsets. Sarepta's DMD franchise provides the most comprehensive rare muscle disease portfolio of any company. | Summit Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing ivonescimab (SMT112), a novel bispecific antibody combining PD-1 checkpoint inhibitor and VEGF (vascular endothelial growth factor) targeting into a single molecule for cancer treatment. Summit in-licensed ivonescimab from Akeso Biotech (a Chinese biotechnology company). Ivonescimab's mechanism: the PD-1 component blocks the checkpoint that tumors use to evade immune detection; the VEGF component reduces tumor blood vessel growth (anti-angiogenesis); combining both into one bispecific antibody aims to achieve synergistic anti-tumor activity. Summit has announced compelling Phase 3 data showing ivonescimab outperforming pembrolizumab (Keytruda — Merck's blockbuster PD-1 inhibitor) in non-small cell lung cancer. |
| Investor focus | Investors track Elevidys gene therapy label expansion (potentially to all DMD patients), real-world functional outcome data from Elevidys-treated patients, and the long-term commercial revenue trajectory of the DMD portfolio as gene therapy pricing is established. | Investors track Summit's ivonescimab Phase 3 trial data (the pivotal results showing superiority to Keytruda in PD-L1 high NSCLC), FDA regulatory process for ivonescimab BLA submission, and commercial launch preparation for what could be a blockbuster lung cancer drug. |
- →Elevidys represents a landmark gene therapy for DMD — gene therapy has the potential to provide long-lasting or potentially curative benefit from a single treatment; if Elevidys durably preserves motor function in DMD patients, it is transformative medicine with significant willingness-to-pay
- →Comprehensive DMD franchise provides multiple revenue streams — Sarepta's exon-skipping drugs (Exondys 51, Vyondys 53, etc.) address approximately 30% of DMD patients eligible for exon-skipping; combined with Elevidys, Sarepta addresses the largest addressable DMD patient population of any company
- →First-mover advantage in DMD gene therapy with significant manufacturing and regulatory expertise — Sarepta has invested heavily in AAV gene therapy manufacturing capability; gene therapy manufacturing expertise is a significant barrier to entry for competitors
- →Ivonescimab Phase 3 data showed statistically significant superiority over pembrolizumab (Keytruda) — the HARMONi-2 trial in China (PD-L1 high NSCLC) demonstrated ivonescimab more than doubled progression-free survival (PFS) versus Keytruda; if confirmed globally, this would be the first drug in decades to outperform Keytruda in a head-to-head lung cancer trial
- →Bispecific antibody mechanism may provide synergistic benefit versus combining separate PD-1 and anti-VEGF drugs — the single bispecific molecule may achieve better tumor penetration and synchronized activity than sequential administration of checkpoint inhibitors and anti-angiogenics
- →Non-small cell lung cancer is the world's largest oncology market — NSCLC is the most common cancer globally; Keytruda generates approximately $25B in annual sales largely from lung cancer; a drug demonstrating superiority to Keytruda would be a transformative commercial opportunity
- →Elevidys long-term durability data is critical — if the functional benefits of Elevidys diminish over time (as AAV gene therapy efficacy can wane if transgene expression declines), the gene therapy's value proposition is materially undermined
- →High gene therapy pricing creates payer and access friction — Elevidys is priced at approximately $3.2 million per treatment; navigating insurance coverage, payer outcomes-based agreements, and patient access programs at this price point is complex
- →FDA regulatory uncertainty around gene therapy efficacy standards — Elevidys received accelerated approval with ongoing confirmatory trial requirements; if confirmatory data doesn't demonstrate the functional improvement endpoints required by the FDA, label changes or withdrawal risk exists
- →Global confirmatory trials are needed — the positive data from HARMONi-2 was conducted in China; Western regulators (FDA, EMA) typically require data from ethnically diverse global populations for full approval; the ongoing global HARMONi-A trial is the key risk
- →Akeso relationship and intellectual property structure create complexity — Summit licensed ivonescimab from Akeso; Summit has rights for commercial territories outside China; the partnership structure and IP landscape will affect Summit's ability to commercialize
- →Binary risk on global trial outcome — if HARMONi-A (global Phase 3 trial) does not replicate the HARMONi-2 PFS superiority versus Keytruda, Summit's entire investment thesis collapses
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