CVS vs WBA Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
CVS and WBA are both pharmacy-based healthcare companies taking very different paths. CVS has executed an integrated insurance-PBM-pharmacy strategy with Aetna and Oak Street Health acquisitions creating a diversified healthcare platform. Walgreens has struggled — cutting its dividend, closing stores, restructuring VillageMD, and evaluating strategic alternatives under significant financial pressure. CVS is the stronger financial position; Walgreens is the potential deep value or special situation investment if a take-private materializes.
CVS vs WBA — CVS Health (the vertically integrated pharmacy-PBM-insurance healthcare company with Aetna, Caremark, and Oak Street Health primary care under a multi-channel healthcare platform strategy) versus Walgreens Boots Alliance (the pharmacy retail chain facing significant restructuring including dividend cuts, store closures, VillageMD primary care losses, and evaluation of strategic alternatives including potential take-private).
CVS holds the edge across 4 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. CVS has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+46.55% vs +31.60%), though WBA trades at the lower forward P/E (8.15x vs 12.18x). On fundamentals, WBA is growing revenue faster (7.20%), while CVS maintains the higher operating margin (4.12%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies similar upside for both: +2.49% for CVS and +1.12% for WBA.
- →see CVS's vertical integration (Aetna insurance + Caremark PBM + pharmacy + Oak Street primary care) as the future of healthcare delivery — connecting care touchpoints creates coordination and cost advantages
- →value CVS Caremark's PBM scale as a durable competitive position in pharmaceutical benefit management serving millions of US members
- →prefer CVS's stronger financial position and dividend sustainability vs Walgreens's dividend cut and restructuring uncertainty
- →are comfortable with PBM regulatory risk, Aetna insurance margin pressure, and high debt from the Aetna acquisition limiting financial flexibility
- →see Walgreens as a deep value turnaround situation — the store closure program and VillageMD restructuring could right-size the cost structure to enable financial recovery
- →believe strategic alternatives (take-private by private equity) could unlock value at a premium to the depressed current stock price
- →value Boots UK's brand strength as a European consumer health asset that may be separable and worth significant value in a strategic transaction
- →are comfortable with ongoing financial stress, dividend cut risk, VillageMD restructuring complexity, and uncertain timeline to operational stability
| Metric | CVS | WBA |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | 40.0 | 23.3 |
| AI rank | #1103 | #3641 |
| Latest close | $98.32 | $11.98 |
| 1M return | +4.40% | +3.01% |
| 6M return | +26.25% | +6.68% |
| 1Y return | +46.55% | +31.60% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | CVS | WBA |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $14.71K (+47.1%) started 2025-06-18 | $13.73K (+37.3%) started 2024-08-29 |
| 5Y ago | $15.29K (+52.9%) started 2021-06-21 | $5.28K (-47.2%) started 2020-08-31 |
| 10Y ago | $18.85K (+88.5%) started 2016-06-20 | $3.13K (-68.7%) started 2015-08-31 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | CVS | WBA |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $130.09B | $0 |
| Trailing P/E | 44.72 | N/A |
| Forward P/E | 12.18 | 8.15 |
| Price/Sales | N/A | 0.06 |
| EV/Revenue | 0.48 | 0.26 |
| Analyst target | $104.50 | $12.11 |
| Target upside | +2.49% | +1.12% |
| Metric | CVS | WBA |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | 6.10% | 7.20% |
| Earnings growth | 63.10% | N/A |
| EPS growth | +63.10% | N/A |
| FCF margin | +1.28% | +2.93% |
| Operating margin | 4.12% | 0.74% |
| Profit margin | 0.72% | -4.07% |
| ROIC proxy | 3.75% | -69.58% |
| Return on equity | 3.75% | -69.58% |
| Dividend yield | 2.61% | 8.35% |
| Beta | 0.62 | 0.77 |
| Debt/equity | 100.91 | 409.88 |
| Current ratio | 0.87 | 0.60 |
| Quick ratio | 0.61 | 0.15 |
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | CVS | WBA |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | +47.10% | +33.45% |
| CAGR | +47.18% | +33.54% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.26 | 0.71 | |
| Max drawdown | 16.44% | 27.61% | |
| Max daily drop | 14.15% | 10.30% | |
| Max wkly drop | 10.23% | 15.54% | |
| 5Y | Growth | +33.24% | -59.84% |
| CAGR | +5.92% | -16.70% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.19 | -0.38 | |
| Max drawdown | 56.79% | 82.41% | |
| Max daily drop | 16.84% | 22.16% | |
| Max wkly drop | 20.15% | 29.12% | |
| 10Y | Growth | +38.28% | -79.94% |
| CAGR | +3.30% | -14.85% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.11 | -0.41 | |
| Max drawdown | 56.79% | 87.80% | |
| Max daily drop | 16.84% | 22.16% | |
| Max wkly drop | 20.15% | 29.12% |
| Category | CVS | WBA |
|---|---|---|
| Company | CVS Health Corporation | Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc. |
| Sector | Healthcare | Healthcare |
| Industry | N/A | Pharmaceutical Retailers |
| Core business | CVS Health is a diversified healthcare company operating CVS Pharmacy retail stores, CVS Caremark (pharmacy benefit management, the largest PBM in the US), Aetna (health insurance, acquired 2018 for $69B), and CVS MinuteClinic/HealthHUB (primary care clinics inside pharmacies). CVS's integrated model connects insurance (Aetna), PBM (Caremark), and pharmacy (CVS) to create a vertically integrated healthcare delivery company. CVS acquired Oak Street Health (primary care clinics) in 2023 and Signify Health (home health, risk assessment) to expand beyond pharmacy into primary care delivery. | Walgreens Boots Alliance operates Walgreens (US pharmacy), Boots (UK pharmacy), and a global wholesale pharmacy business. Walgreens has invested in primary care through the VillageMD partnership — co-locating primary care physician offices inside Walgreens locations. However, VillageMD has struggled with profitability, and Walgreens has been scaling back its healthcare services investment amid financial pressure. Walgreens cut its dividend significantly in 2024 — a major signal of financial stress. Walgreens is evaluating strategic alternatives including potential take-private transactions. |
| Investor focus | Investors focus on CVS's Aetna insurance margin performance, Caremark PBM contract wins and losses, Oak Street Health integration progress, HealthHUB primary care clinic scale, and dividend sustainability from FCF. | Investors focus on Walgreens's turnaround timeline, VillageMD restructuring, dividend status (significantly cut in 2024), store count optimization (closing hundreds of underperforming stores), and potential strategic transactions. |
- →Vertically integrated healthcare model: owning insurance (Aetna), PBM (Caremark), and pharmacy creates coordinated care benefits and data advantages — patients covered by Aetna fill prescriptions at CVS with Caremark managing benefits
- →Caremark PBM scale: CVS Caremark is the largest US PBM managing prescription benefits for millions of Americans — the PBM generates high-margin fee revenues from formulary management and pharmaceutical rebates
- →Oak Street Health primary care expansion: acquiring Oak Street provides CVS primary care physician practices in underserved communities — extending CVS from a pharmacy to a primary care access point for Medicare Advantage patients
- →Retail pharmacy coverage: Walgreens operates 8,700+ US locations — one of the broadest retail pharmacy networks, providing convenience-based medication access across urban and suburban markets
- →Boots UK brand recognition: Boots is one of the UK's most trusted pharmacy and beauty retail brands — providing international diversification and a strong European consumer health franchise
- →Strategic alternatives optionality: Walgreens's depressed stock price has attracted private equity interest — if a take-private transaction materializes at a premium, current holders could benefit from the strategic event
- →PBM business model under scrutiny: PBMs (pharmacy benefit managers) face regulatory and legal pressure for transparency — potential rebate reform or legislation could significantly affect Caremark's business model
- →Aetna commercial insurance margin pressure: health insurance medical loss ratios have been elevated across the industry — Aetna's commercial and Medicare Advantage margins face utilization headwinds
- →Debt load from Aetna acquisition: CVS took on $40B+ in debt for the Aetna deal — high leverage limits financial flexibility and increases interest expense burden
- →Dividend cut in 2024 reflecting financial stress: Walgreens cut its quarterly dividend significantly in early 2024 — a major reversal for what was previously a Dividend Aristocrat, reflecting cash flow pressure
- →Significant store closure program: Walgreens announced closing 1,200+ underperforming stores — a large restructuring creating transition costs and potential customer disruption
- →VillageMD losses require restructuring: Walgreens's primary care investment through VillageMD has not achieved profitability targets — requiring capital reallocation and partnership restructuring
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