LIVE
TSLA
Tesla, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary
$391.00
-1.94% this month
VERSUS
⟷
COMPARE
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary
$16.35
+12.91% this month
AI Score
65.3vs23.6
TSLA ↑1Y Return
+17.75%vs+18.65%
RIVN ↑Forward P/E
173.64xvs-8.65x
RIVN ↑Target Upside
-5.48%vs+11.03%
RIVN ↑Scoreboard verdict
Across AI score, momentum, valuation, upside, operating margin
TSLA
1
RIVN
3
Metrics last refreshed: 6/6/2026
Quick take
TSLA vs RIVN: Tesla vs Rivian — Which EV Stock Is the Better Buy?: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Tesla is a profitable, global-scale EV and energy business with autonomous driving and robotics optionality, while Rivian is an early-stage EV manufacturer still working toward profitability with a focused product lineup and key partnerships. The comparison often comes down to growth stage preference: established platform vs. high-risk, high-reward turnaround.
Use this TSLA vs RIVN comparison to weigh an established but high-multiple EV leader against a pre-profitability EV challenger. Tesla is valued partly on autonomous and energy upside; Rivian is a bet on unit economics improvement and the VW and Amazon relationships.
Live analysis · updated 6/6/2026
RIVN holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. RIVN leads on both 1-year return (+18.65%) and forward P/E (-8.65x vs 173.64x for TSLA), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for RIVN (+11.03%) than for TSLA (-5.48%).
Comparison scoreboard
RIVN LEADS 3/5AI Score
TSLA ✓65.3
RIVN 23.6
1Y Return
TSLA +17.75%
RIVN ✓+18.65%
Fwd P/E
TSLA 173.64
RIVN ✓-8.65
Target Up.
TSLA -5.48%
RIVN ✓+11.03%
Op. Margin
TSLA 4.20%
RIVN N/A
Normalized 1Y performance
TSLA
RIVN
Recent returns
TSLA
RIVN
Analyst price targets & sentiment
TSLA
Price target range
analyst mean$411.89
current price$391.00
-5.5% upside to analyst mean
RIVN · 26 analysts
STRONG BUYHOLDSTRONG SELL
Hold (2.6/5.0)
Price target range
analyst low$9.00
analyst high$25.00
analyst mean$18.15
current price$16.35
+11.0% upside to analyst mean
Who should consider this stock?
TSLA may suit investors who:
- →Want the largest and most profitable EV platform with autonomous driving optionality
- →Believe FSD and Robotaxi represent a transformative long-term revenue opportunity
- →Are comfortable with a high multiple that prices in execution of future products
- →Want energy storage exposure alongside vehicles as a diversified clean energy play
RIVN may suit investors who:
- →Are willing to take early-stage EV risk in exchange for higher potential upside
- →Believe Rivian's R2 cost reduction and VW partnership will drive unit economics improvement
- →Value the Amazon EDV anchor relationship as a commercial volume floor
- →Have a longer time horizon and can tolerate continued near-term cash burn
Performance & AI score
| Metric | TSLA | RIVN |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | 65.3 | 23.6 |
| AI rank | #74 | #3538 |
| Latest close | $391.00 | $16.35 |
| 1M return | -1.94% | +12.91% |
| 6M return | -13.98% | -9.47% |
| 1Y return | +17.75% | +18.65% |
$10,000 invested — hypothetical growth (dividends reinvested)
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | TSLA | RIVN |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $13.73K (+37.3%) started 2025-06-05 | $11.87K (+18.7%) started 2025-06-05 |
| 5Y ago | $19.38K (+93.8%) started 2021-06-07 | $1.62K (-83.8%) started 2021-11-10 |
| 10Y ago | $265.77K (+2557.7%) started 2016-06-06 | $1.62K (-83.8%) started 2021-11-10 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
Valuation & upside potential
| Metric | TSLA | RIVN |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $1.64T | $21.96B |
| Trailing P/E | 399.81 | N/A |
| Forward P/E | 173.64 | -8.65 |
| Price/Sales | N/A | 3.97 |
| EV/Revenue | 16.43 | 3.81 |
| Analyst target | $411.89 | $18.15 |
| Target upside | -5.48% | +11.03% |
Growth, profitability & risk
| Metric | TSLA | RIVN |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | 15.80% | 11.40% |
| Earnings growth | 8.30% | N/A |
| EPS growth | +8.30% | N/A |
| FCF margin | +5.37% | -23.57% |
| Operating margin | 4.20% | N/A |
| Profit margin | 3.95% | -63.62% |
| ROIC proxy | 4.90% | -65.69% |
| Return on equity | 4.90% | -65.69% |
| Dividend yield | N/A | N/A |
| Beta | 1.79 | 1.62 |
| Debt/equity | 18.74 | 118.15 |
| Current ratio | 2.04 | 2.10 |
| Quick ratio | 1.43 | 1.54 |
Drawdown & downside risk
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
1Y risk snapshot
TSLA max drawdown29.93%
RIVN max drawdown42.54%
TSLA max wkly drop11.68%
RIVN max wkly drop16.81%
5Y risk snapshot
TSLA max drawdown73.63%
RIVN max drawdown95.12%
TSLA max wkly drop27.20%
RIVN max wkly drop39.27%
10Y risk snapshot
TSLA max drawdown73.63%
RIVN max drawdown95.12%
TSLA max wkly drop43.05%
RIVN max wkly drop39.27%
Performance metrics by period
| Period | Metric | TSLA | RIVN |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | +37.34% | +18.65% |
| CAGR | +37.40% | +18.66% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.84 | 0.50 | |
| Max drawdown | 29.93% | 42.54% | |
| Max daily drop | 8.20% | 9.77% | |
| Max wkly drop | 11.68% | 16.81% | |
| 5Y | Growth | +93.84% | -83.77% |
| CAGR | +14.17% | -32.84% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.44 | -0.19 | |
| Max drawdown | 73.63% | 95.12% | |
| Max daily drop | 15.43% | 25.60% | |
| Max wkly drop | 27.20% | 39.27% | |
| 10Y | Growth | +2557.69% | -83.77% |
| CAGR | +38.83% | -32.84% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.77 | -0.19 | |
| Max drawdown | 73.63% | 95.12% | |
| Max daily drop | 21.06% | 25.60% | |
| Max wkly drop | 43.05% | 39.27% |
Business comparison
| Category | TSLA | RIVN |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Tesla, Inc. | Rivian Automotive, Inc. |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Consumer Discretionary |
| Industry | N/A | N/A |
| Core business | EV design and manufacturing, energy storage, solar, autonomous driving software (FSD), and the Supercharger network. Expanding into robotics (Optimus) and Robotaxi. | EV manufacturer focused on adventure trucks (R1T), SUVs (R1S), and commercial delivery vans (EDV) for Amazon. Joint development agreement with Volkswagen Group. |
| Investor focus | FSD progress and Robotaxi commercialisation, energy storage growth, Optimus robotics optionality, gross margin recovery, and volume growth in China and Europe. | Path to gross profit and cash flow breakeven, R2 platform launch timing, Amazon EDV delivery ramp, and VW partnership technology access. |
TSLA strengths
- →Largest EV maker globally with the most mature manufacturing scale and lowest cost structure
- →Supercharger network becoming the North American standard, generating recurring revenue
- →FSD and Robotaxi represent a high-upside autonomous platform business beyond the car
RIVN strengths
- →Loyal enthusiast brand with strong demand for R1 platform vehicles among outdoor and adventure buyers
- →Amazon EDV partnership provides a large committed commercial order with a high-quality anchor customer
- →VW joint development agreement provides capital, technology access, and potential cost improvements
Risks to watch — TSLA
- →Price cuts compressing automotive gross margins
- →Increasing EV competition in China from BYD and local manufacturers
- →Elon Musk brand and execution risk across multiple ventures
Risks to watch — RIVN
- →Sustained cash burn with no near-term path to profitability
- →High manufacturing costs relative to selling price
- →Execution risk on R2 platform launch and cost reduction targets
Frequently asked questions
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