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RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary - Electric Vehicles
$16.52
+28.06% this month
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TSLA
Tesla, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary - Electric Vehicles & Energy
$400.49
-0.90% this month
Scoreboard verdict
Across AI score, momentum, valuation, upside, operating margin
RIVN
2
TSLA
2
Comparison scoreboard
MIXED SETUPAI Score
RIVN 23.7
TSLA ✓65.0
1Y Return
RIVN +19.97%
TSLA ✓+26.60%
Fwd P/E
RIVN ✓-8.74
TSLA 160.20
Target Up.
RIVN ✓+10.12%
TSLA +5.01%
Op. Margin
RIVN N/A
TSLA 4.20%
Metrics last refreshed: 6/22/2026
Quick take
RIVN vs TSLA Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
RIVN (Rivian) and TSLA (Tesla) both compete in the electric truck space — Rivian is the dedicated adventure truck startup with the R1T, R1S, and Amazon delivery van partnership, while Tesla is the dominant EV company that added the Cybertruck to compete in the pickup truck segment, leveraging its Supercharger network, autonomous driving data, and manufacturing scale advantages.
RIVN vs TSLA electric truck is dedicated adventure EV startup with Amazon commercial anchor and pure outdoor/adventure truck identity (Rivian's R1T/R1S niche, EDV Amazon vans, and single manufacturing plant — navigating production ramp challenges, cash burn, and intensifying competition from all major automakers) versus the dominant global EV manufacturer adding the Cybertruck to its lineup with unmatched ecosystem advantages (Tesla's Supercharger network, FSD autonomous data, Gigafactory scale, and energy business — the established EV market leader expanding into the highest-volume U.S. vehicle segment).
Live analysis · updated 6/22/2026
RIVN and TSLA are closely matched — they split the tracked metrics evenly. TSLA has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+26.60% vs +19.97%), though RIVN trades at the lower forward P/E (-8.74x vs 160.20x). Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for RIVN (+10.12%) than for TSLA (+5.01%).
Normalized 1Y performance
RIVN
TSLA
Recent returns
RIVN
TSLA
Analyst price targets & sentiment
RIVN · 26 analysts
STRONG BUYHOLDSTRONG SELL
Hold (2.6/5.0)
Price target range
analyst low$9.00
analyst high$25.00
analyst mean$18.19
current price$16.52
+10.1% upside to analyst mean
TSLA
Price target range
analyst mean$420.55
current price$400.49
+5.0% upside to analyst mean
Who should consider this stock?
RIVN may suit investors who:
- →Believe Rivian's outdoor adventure positioning and Amazon partnership create a differentiated niche that provides some protection from mainstream EV competition
- →Want high-risk, high-reward exposure to a pure-play electric adventure vehicle startup with the potential to scale into a significant EV manufacturer if production and margin challenges are resolved
- →See the R2 platform (lower-cost next-generation Rivian vehicle) as the catalyst to reach the mass market and achieve sustainable profitability
TSLA may suit investors who:
- →Want the dominant global EV manufacturer with unmatched Supercharger infrastructure, autonomous driving data network effects, and multiple business lines (energy storage, FSD licensing potential)
- →Believe Tesla's Cybertruck gives it strong entry into the highest-volume U.S. vehicle segment backed by Tesla's manufacturing expertise, software capabilities, and brand recognition
- →See FSD autonomous driving as a potentially transformative technology that could generate software-like revenue from Tesla's massive installed vehicle fleet
Performance & AI score
| Metric | RIVN | TSLA |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | 23.7 | 65.0 |
| AI rank | #3460 | #66 |
| Latest close | $16.52 | $400.49 |
| 1M return | +28.06% | -0.90% |
| 6M return | -6.30% | -14.29% |
| 1Y return | +19.97% | +26.60% |
$10,000 invested — hypothetical growth (dividends reinvested)
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | RIVN | TSLA |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $12K (+20.0%) started 2025-06-18 | $12.44K (+24.4%) started 2025-06-18 |
| 5Y ago | $1.64K (-83.6%) started 2021-11-10 | $19.35K (+93.5%) started 2021-06-21 |
| 10Y ago | $1.64K (-83.6%) started 2021-11-10 | $273.43K (+2634.3%) started 2016-06-20 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
Valuation & upside potential
| Metric | RIVN | TSLA |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $22.18B | $1.5T |
| Trailing P/E | N/A | 370.82 |
| Forward P/E | -8.74 | 160.20 |
| Price/Sales | 4.01 | N/A |
| EV/Revenue | 3.84 | 15.08 |
| Analyst target | $18.19 | $420.55 |
| Target upside | +10.12% | +5.01% |
Growth, profitability & risk
| Metric | RIVN | TSLA |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | 11.40% | 15.80% |
| Earnings growth | N/A | 8.30% |
| EPS growth | N/A | +8.30% |
| FCF margin | -23.57% | +5.37% |
| Operating margin | N/A | 4.20% |
| Profit margin | -63.62% | 3.95% |
| ROIC proxy | -65.69% | 4.90% |
| Return on equity | -65.69% | 4.90% |
| Dividend yield | 0.00% | N/A |
| Beta | 1.62 | 1.80 |
| Debt/equity | 118.15 | 18.74 |
| Current ratio | 2.10 | 2.04 |
| Quick ratio | 1.54 | 1.43 |
Drawdown & downside risk
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
1Y risk snapshot
RIVN max drawdown42.54%
TSLA max drawdown29.93%
RIVN max wkly drop19.21%
TSLA max wkly drop11.68%
5Y risk snapshot
RIVN max drawdown95.12%
TSLA max drawdown73.63%
RIVN max wkly drop39.27%
TSLA max wkly drop27.20%
10Y risk snapshot
RIVN max drawdown95.12%
TSLA max drawdown73.63%
RIVN max wkly drop39.27%
TSLA max wkly drop43.05%
Performance metrics by period
| Period | Metric | RIVN | TSLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | +19.97% | +24.36% |
| CAGR | +19.99% | +24.40% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.52 | 0.61 | |
| Max drawdown | 42.54% | 29.93% | |
| Max daily drop | 9.77% | 8.20% | |
| Max wkly drop | 19.21% | 11.68% | |
| 5Y | Growth | -83.60% | +93.53% |
| CAGR | -32.49% | +14.14% | |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.18 | 0.44 | |
| Max drawdown | 95.12% | 73.63% | |
| Max daily drop | 25.60% | 15.43% | |
| Max wkly drop | 39.27% | 27.20% | |
| 10Y | Growth | -83.60% | +2634.34% |
| CAGR | -32.49% | +39.24% | |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.18 | 0.78 | |
| Max drawdown | 95.12% | 73.63% | |
| Max daily drop | 25.60% | 21.06% | |
| Max wkly drop | 39.27% | 43.05% |
Business comparison
| Category | RIVN | TSLA |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Rivian Automotive, Inc. | Tesla, Inc. |
| Sector | Consumer Discretionary - Electric Vehicles | Consumer Cyclical |
| Industry | N/A | N/A |
| Core business | Rivian Automotive designs, manufactures, and sells electric adventure vehicles including the R1T electric pickup truck, R1S electric SUV, and commercial delivery vans (EDV) produced for Amazon under a multiyear commercial agreement. Rivian operates a single manufacturing facility in Normal, Illinois (formerly a Mitsubishi plant), with capacity for approximately 150,000 vehicles per year when fully ramped. Rivian targets the premium outdoor/adventure truck and SUV segment with its consumer vehicles (R1T and R1S start around $70,000) and has a massive commercial contract with Amazon for 100,000 electric delivery vans by 2030. Rivian was backed by Amazon, Ford (which later sold its stake), and institutional investors, going public in a high-profile 2021 IPO. | Tesla Inc. is the dominant global electric vehicle manufacturer, energy storage company, and autonomous driving technology developer. Tesla's vehicle lineup includes the Model S (luxury sedan), Model 3 (mid-size sedan), Model X (luxury SUV), Model Y (compact SUV, the best-selling EV globally), Cybertruck (electric pickup, launched late 2023), and Semi (electric semi-truck). Tesla operates Gigafactories in Fremont (California), Austin (Texas), Shanghai (China), and Berlin (Germany). Beyond vehicles, Tesla Energy sells Powerwall home batteries, Powerpack/Megapack commercial storage, and Solar Roof/panels. Tesla's FSD (Full Self-Driving) technology is a central value driver — Tesla collects driving data from millions of vehicles to train autonomous driving neural networks, and management argues FSD could eventually be worth more than the car business. |
| Investor focus | Investors track Rivian's production volumes (quarterly vehicle deliveries), gross margin trajectory (reaching gross profit positive is a key milestone), cash burn rate and runway to profitability, Amazon van order fulfillment progress, and the upcoming R2 platform launch. | Investors track Tesla's delivery volume growth, gross margin trajectory (particularly vehicle gross margin excluding regulatory credits), FSD subscription and adoption rates, energy storage deployment, and Optimus (humanoid robot) development. |
RIVN strengths
- →Amazon partnership provides commercial revenue anchor and credibility — Amazon's commitment to purchase up to 100,000 EDVs provides volume certainty for Rivian's commercial business and demonstrates the viability of Rivian's technology at commercial scale; Amazon also made a significant investment in Rivian
- →R1T and R1S target outdoor adventure segment with differentiated products — the R1T's gear tunnel, camp kitchen option, and all-terrain capability target adventure-oriented buyers who want performance-focused outdoor vehicles; this niche provides some protection from mainstream EV competition
- →Modular battery platform and Rivian Adventure Network are ecosystem assets — Rivian's skateboard platform (battery and drivetrain as a flat underbody) enables multiple vehicle configurations; Rivian's proprietary charging network (rivaling Tesla's Supercharger in outdoor/rural coverage) provides in-house charging infrastructure
TSLA strengths
- →Cybertruck competes in the highest-volume U.S. vehicle segment with Tesla's brand and technology advantages — pickup trucks are the best-selling vehicles in the U.S. (F-150, RAM, Silverado dominate sales); Tesla's Cybertruck brings its Supercharger network, over-the-air software updates, and brand cachet to the segment
- →Supercharger network provides the best EV charging infrastructure in North America — Tesla's 45,000+ Superchargers globally (now open to non-Tesla vehicles under NACS standard) represent a significant competitive advantage; EV range anxiety is a major purchase barrier and Supercharger coverage reduces it
- →FSD/autonomous driving data advantage from millions of real-world miles — Tesla's fleet of millions of vehicles collects continuous driving data; this data trains neural networks that improve autonomous driving capabilities; the data network effect creates an autonomous driving AI capability that is extremely difficult for new entrants to replicate
Risks to watch — RIVN
- →Cash burn and path to profitability is the existential challenge — Rivian burned several billion dollars per year in its early production phase; reaching gross profit positive (covering variable production costs) is a necessary milestone before sustainable operations; capital markets access to fund ongoing losses is critical
- →Production ramp challenges have repeatedly set back timelines and investor confidence — Rivian experienced significant production issues at the Normal plant (supply chain, component shortages, manufacturing line efficiency) that resulted in production guidance cuts; every missed production target erodes credibility
- →Competition from Ford F-150 Lightning, GM Silverado EV, Tesla Cybertruck, and Ram 1500 REV intensifies as all major automakers launch electric trucks — Rivian competes in the electric truck segment against manufacturers with vastly more resources, dealer networks, and brand recognition
Risks to watch — TSLA
- →Cybertruck production ramp challenges and quality issues — Cybertruck's unconventional stainless steel body creates manufacturing complexity; production ramp has been slower than originally projected; early quality and reliability reports have been mixed
- →Price war pressure on margins — Tesla has engaged in aggressive price cuts to defend market share in China and the U.S. as competition from BYD, GM, Ford, and Chinese EV makers intensifies; margin erosion from price cuts is the primary near-term earnings risk
- →Elon Musk's attention diversification across Tesla, SpaceX, X (Twitter), xAI, and other ventures — Musk's role at Tesla is critical (investor confidence is closely tied to his involvement); divided attention and reputational risk from other ventures create management distraction concerns
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