AIRC vs CPT Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
AIRC (Apartment Income REIT) and CPT (Camden Property Trust) are both apartment REITs but with distinct geographic philosophies — AIRC concentrates in coastal high-barrier-to-entry markets (Miami, Boston, San Diego) with a pure operations/no-development strategy, while Camden operates in Sunbelt growth markets (Houston, Phoenix, Atlanta) with an active development pipeline and award-winning employee culture.
AIRC vs CPT is coastal Class A apartment REIT with supply-protected markets and buyback-focused capital allocation (AIRC's high-barrier coastal focus, no development risk, and opportunistic share repurchases at NAV discounts — a pure-play operating business in supply-constrained coastal markets) versus Sunbelt growth apartment REIT with active development capability and award-winning operations (Camden's population-migration-driven demand in Houston/Phoenix/Atlanta, in-house development creating value below replacement cost, and exceptional employee culture driving operating execution — a growth-development apartment REIT navigating near-term new supply headwinds).
AIRC and CPT are closely matched — they split the tracked metrics evenly.
- →Want coastal market Class A apartment exposure with a pure-play operating focus and no development risk complication
- →Value AIRC's buyback-oriented capital allocation strategy as potentially accretive when the stock trades at wide discounts to NAV
- →Prefer high-barrier-to-entry coastal markets (limited new supply zoning) where rent growth can be more durable than Sunbelt markets facing supply waves
- →Want Sunbelt apartment exposure with long-term population migration tailwinds from high-cost coastal cities
- →Value Camden's in-house development capability as creating embedded value (building at yields above trading cap rates) as a durable growth driver beyond existing portfolio NOI
- →Appreciate Camden's consistent Fortune 100 Best Places to Work recognition as evidence of an employee culture that translates into superior resident experience and operating execution
| Metric | AIRC | CPT |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | N/A | 35.0 |
| AI rank | N/A | #1646 |
| Latest close | N/A | $108.99 |
| 1M return | N/A | +3.74% |
| 6M return | N/A | +1.11% |
| 1Y return | N/A | -5.96% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | AIRC | CPT |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | N/A | $9.43K (-5.7%) started 2025-06-18 |
| 5Y ago | N/A | $10.53K (+5.3%) started 2021-06-21 |
| 10Y ago | N/A | $28.08K (+180.8%) started 2016-06-20 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | AIRC | CPT |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | N/A | $11.39B |
| Trailing P/E | N/A | 32.12 |
| Forward P/E | N/A | 72.02 |
| Price/Sales | 6.92 | 7.92 |
| EV/Revenue | N/A | 10.26 |
| Analyst target | N/A | $113.94 |
| Target upside | N/A | -0.90% |
| Metric | AIRC | CPT |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | N/A | -0.50% |
| Earnings growth | N/A | 12.10% |
| EPS growth | N/A | +12.10% |
| FCF margin | N/A | +43.42% |
| Operating margin | N/A | 3.72% |
| Profit margin | N/A | 24.49% |
| ROIC proxy | N/A | 9.06% |
| Return on equity | N/A | 9.06% |
| Dividend yield | N/A | 3.69% |
| Beta | 0.46 | 0.81 |
| Debt/equity | N/A | 104.15 |
| Current ratio | N/A | 0.10 |
| Quick ratio | N/A | 0.04 |
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | AIRC | CPT |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | N/A | -5.73% |
| CAGR | N/A | -5.74% | |
| Sharpe ratio | N/A | -0.44 | |
| Max drawdown | N/A | 16.60% | |
| Max daily drop | N/A | 3.79% | |
| Max wkly drop | N/A | 6.53% | |
| 5Y | Growth | N/A | -8.28% |
| CAGR | N/A | -1.72% | |
| Sharpe ratio | N/A | -0.16 | |
| Max drawdown | N/A | 50.22% | |
| Max daily drop | N/A | 7.12% | |
| Max wkly drop | N/A | 12.62% | |
| 10Y | Growth | N/A | +85.56% |
| CAGR | N/A | +6.38% | |
| Sharpe ratio | N/A | 0.19 | |
| Max drawdown | N/A | 50.22% | |
| Max daily drop | N/A | 17.89% | |
| Max wkly drop | N/A | 25.98% |
| Category | AIRC | CPT |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Apartment Income REIT Corp. (AIR Communities) | Camden Property Trust |
| Sector | Real Estate - Residential Apartments | Real Estate |
| Industry | N/A | REIT - Residential |
| Core business | Apartment Income REIT Corp. (AIRC), operating as AIR Communities, is a publicly traded REIT that owns and manages approximately 75-80 apartment communities with approximately 27,000+ apartment homes across 10 coastal and Sunbelt markets including Miami, Boston, Denver, Philadelphia, San Diego, Washington DC, and the San Francisco Bay Area. AIRC was formed when Aimco (Apartment Investment and Management) separated its stable operating portfolio (renamed AIRC) from its development activities (retained by Aimco) in December 2020. AIRC focuses exclusively on owning and operating stabilized, Class A apartment communities with a simplicity strategy — no development, no ground-up construction, pure operations of existing, high-quality apartment portfolios. AIRC has actively used leverage to buy back shares when NAV discount is wide, returning capital while others reinvest. | Camden Property Trust is a real estate investment trust that owns, develops, acquires, and manages multifamily apartment communities. Camden operates approximately 58,000 apartment homes in approximately 170+ communities across 15 markets with significant concentrations in Atlanta, Denver, Houston, Phoenix, Southeast Florida, Tampa, and the Washington DC metro area. Camden has developed thousands of apartments over its history (primarily in-house development) and continues to maintain an active development pipeline. Camden's markets are concentrated in the Sunbelt (South, Southwest) with select coastal exposure (Southeast Florida, Washington DC). Camden Property Trust has been consistently recognized as one of Fortune magazine's 100 Best Companies to Work For — employee culture is a distinctive competitive advantage that drives operational excellence. |
| Investor focus | Investors track AIRC's same-store NOI growth, blended lease rate growth, portfolio occupancy, NAV per share, and the company's capital allocation strategy (share buybacks vs. acquisitions at NAV). | Investors track Camden's same-store NOI growth, lease rate growth by market (Sunbelt-heavy portfolio tracks Houston, Phoenix, Atlanta supply cycles), development pipeline returns (cost vs. yield-on-cost), and dividend growth. |
- →Coastal market concentration in high-barrier-to-entry cities reduces new supply risk — Class A coastal markets (Miami Beach, Boston, San Diego) have restrictive zoning, high land costs, and complex permitting that dramatically limits new apartment supply; limited supply drives rent growth even in moderate demand environments
- →Pure operations focus (no development risk) creates predictable operating income — AIRC owns only stabilized apartment communities; no development pipeline means no construction risk, no unstabilized assets dragging earnings, and cleaner NOI predictability
- →Activist-oriented capital allocation (buybacks at NAV discounts) can accelerate per-share value creation — AIRC has been willing to use leverage to fund share buybacks when the stock trades at large discounts to NAV; buybacks below NAV are accretive to per-share NAV
- →Sunbelt growth markets provide long-term demand tailwind from population migration — Houston, Phoenix, Atlanta, and Tampa benefit from domestic migration from high-cost coastal cities, job creation, and favorable affordability compared to coastal markets
- →Internal development capability creates value through building below replacement cost — Camden develops apartments at yields-on-cost of 5.5-6.5% in markets where comparable stabilized assets trade at 4-5% cap rates; the value creation through development is embedded in the business model
- →Award-winning employee culture drives operating performance — Camden's consistent Fortune 100 Best Places to Work recognition reflects genuine employee satisfaction; high-performing, engaged employees deliver better resident service, lower turnover, and better property maintenance — operational excellence that compounds over time
- →Coastal market demand can be volatile with economic cycles — coastal markets (tech-driven San Francisco, financial services Boston) experienced rent declines during 2020-2021 as remote work enabled tenant migration; coastal concentration amplifies both the upside and downside of coastal economic cycles
- →External management structure creates some governance considerations — AIRC is externally managed by Aimco; external management structures can create conflicts of interest around fee incentives versus shareholder alignment
- →Leverage level higher than some peers — AIRC uses more financial leverage than conservative apartment REITs; higher leverage amplifies returns in good markets but increases refinancing and covenant risk during downturns
- →Sunbelt new apartment supply cycle (2023-2025) is the primary near-term headwind — Sunbelt markets attracted enormous apartment construction during 2021-2022 (driven by rent growth expectations); this new supply is delivering into Camden's core markets (Phoenix, Austin, Nashville, Denver) and pressuring rent growth and occupancy
- →Houston oil price correlation creates cyclical earnings exposure — Houston apartment market performance is linked to energy sector employment and oil prices; Camden's largest market is subject to energy sector cycles
- →Development cost inflation has compressed development spreads — construction costs rose significantly 2021-2023; labor and materials costs have stabilized but remain elevated; yield-on-cost for new development has narrowed vs. the pandemic-era boom
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