LIVE
BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited · Consumer Discretionary
$107.10
-20.32% this month
VERSUS
⟷
COMPARE
JD
JD.com, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary
$27.57
-14.85% this month
Scoreboard verdict
Across AI score, momentum, valuation, upside, operating margin
BABA
3
JD
1
Comparison scoreboard
BABA LEADS 3/5AI Score
BABA ✓41.5
JD 40.8
1Y Return
BABA ✓-4.76%
JD -12.14%
Fwd P/E
BABA 1.72
JD ✓0.94
Target Up.
BABA ✓+78.81%
JD +49.85%
Op. Margin
BABA N/A
JD N/A
Metrics last refreshed: 6/20/2026
Quick take
BABA vs JD Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Alibaba and JD.com are China's two largest e-commerce companies, both trading at significant discounts to US and global peers due to regulatory overhang, competitive pressure from Pinduoduo, and VIE structure risks. Alibaba is the broader platform with cloud computing as an additional growth driver; JD is the logistics-focused electronics specialist. Both offer deep value if China's regulatory environment stabilizes.
Both BABA and JD are deep value China tech plays that require geopolitical and regulatory conviction — investors must weigh the compelling discounts against the structural risks of VIE structures, CCP oversight, and US-China decoupling before allocating.
Live analysis · updated 6/20/2026
BABA holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. BABA has delivered stronger 1-year price return (-4.76% vs -12.14%), though JD trades at the lower forward P/E (0.94x vs 1.72x). Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for BABA (+78.81%) than for JD (+49.85%).
Normalized 1Y performance
BABA
JD
Recent returns
BABA
JD
Analyst price targets & sentiment
BABA · 40 analysts
STRONG BUYHOLDSTRONG SELL
Strong Buy (1.4/5.0)
Price target range
analyst low$92.10
analyst high$258.65
analyst mean$191.51
current price$107.10
+78.8% upside to analyst mean
JD · 36 analysts
STRONG BUYHOLDSTRONG SELL
Strong Buy (1.4/5.0)
Price target range
analyst low$27.10
analyst high$61.23
analyst mean$41.31
current price$27.57
+49.9% upside to analyst mean
Who should consider this stock?
BABA may suit investors who:
- →want the broadest China tech exposure via the dominant e-commerce ecosystem and Alibaba Cloud
- →believe the deep discount to historical and peer valuations reflects excessive regulatory pessimism
- →value massive share buyback programs as a capital return mechanism at current discounted prices
- →are comfortable with VIE structure and CCP regulatory risk for the potential return asymmetry
JD may suit investors who:
- →prefer China e-commerce with proprietary logistics as a differentiating competitive moat
- →want electronics and appliance marketplace exposure with built-in authenticity guarantees
- →value JD Logistics as a separately monetizable asset providing additional investment return
- →are comfortable with tighter margins in exchange for a more asset-heavy but defensible business model
Performance & AI score
| Metric | BABA | JD |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | 41.5 | 40.8 |
| AI rank | #939 | #1012 |
| Latest close | $107.10 | $27.57 |
| 1M return | -20.32% | -14.85% |
| 6M return | -26.52% | -0.16% |
| 1Y return | -4.76% | -12.14% |
$10,000 invested — hypothetical growth (dividends reinvested)
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | BABA | JD |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $9.61K (-3.9%) started 2025-06-18 | $9.1K (-9.0%) started 2025-06-18 |
| 5Y ago | $5.71K (-42.9%) started 2021-06-18 | $5.05K (-49.5%) started 2021-06-18 |
| 10Y ago | $15.51K (+55.1%) started 2016-06-20 | $17.17K (+71.7%) started 2016-06-20 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
Valuation & upside potential
| Metric | BABA | JD |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $256.95B | $37.23B |
| Trailing P/E | 16.50 | 20.12 |
| Forward P/E | 1.72 | 0.94 |
| Price/Sales | 0.25 | 0.03 |
| EV/Revenue | 0.28 | 0.01 |
| Analyst target | $191.51 | $41.31 |
| Target upside | +78.81% | +49.85% |
Growth, profitability & risk
| Metric | BABA | JD |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | 2.90% | 4.90% |
| Earnings growth | 104.10% | -50.70% |
| EPS growth | +104.10% | -50.70% |
| FCF margin | -4.31% | +0.53% |
| Operating margin | N/A | N/A |
| Profit margin | 10.12% | 1.05% |
| ROIC proxy | 9.22% | 6.00% |
| Return on equity | 9.22% | 6.00% |
| Dividend yield | 0.95% | 3.52% |
| Beta | 0.46 | 0.38 |
| Debt/equity | 25.01 | 38.48 |
| Current ratio | 1.28 | 1.18 |
| Quick ratio | 0.86 | 0.74 |
Drawdown & downside risk
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
1Y risk snapshot
BABA max drawdown42.92%
JD max drawdown29.78%
BABA max wkly drop15.43%
JD max wkly drop10.23%
5Y risk snapshot
BABA max drawdown72.48%
JD max drawdown75.63%
BABA max wkly drop25.12%
JD max wkly drop29.05%
10Y risk snapshot
BABA max drawdown80.09%
JD max drawdown79.12%
BABA max wkly drop25.12%
JD max wkly drop29.05%
Performance metrics by period
| Period | Metric | BABA | JD |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | -4.76% | -12.14% |
| CAGR | -4.77% | -12.15% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.00 | -0.39 | |
| Max drawdown | 42.92% | 29.78% | |
| Max daily drop | 8.45% | 6.24% | |
| Max wkly drop | 15.43% | 10.23% | |
| 5Y | Growth | -46.39% | -56.06% |
| CAGR | -11.73% | -15.17% | |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.08 | -0.13 | |
| Max drawdown | 72.48% | 75.63% | |
| Max daily drop | 12.51% | 15.83% | |
| Max wkly drop | 25.12% | 29.05% | |
| 10Y | Growth | +45.63% | +49.41% |
| CAGR | +3.83% | +4.10% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.20 | 0.22 | |
| Max drawdown | 80.09% | 79.12% | |
| Max daily drop | 13.34% | 15.83% | |
| Max wkly drop | 25.12% | 29.05% |
Business comparison
| Category | BABA | JD |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Alibaba Group Holding Limited | JD.com, Inc. |
| Sector | Consumer Discretionary | Consumer Discretionary |
| Industry | N/A | N/A |
| Core business | Alibaba is China's largest e-commerce and cloud computing company, operating Taobao (C2C), Tmall (B2C), Alibaba.com (B2B), and Alibaba Cloud. Following the 2021 regulatory crackdown and a $2.75B fine, Alibaba has been restructuring into six business groups. Its cloud business is the largest in China and the primary growth catalyst alongside international e-commerce expansion via Lazada, Trendyol, and AliExpress. Founder Jack Ma's departure and regulatory pressure changed the competitive dynamic significantly. | JD.com is China's second-largest B2C e-commerce platform, distinguished by operating its own first-party logistics network of warehouses, delivery stations, and couriers. Unlike Alibaba's marketplace model, JD.com sources and sells a significant portion of electronics, appliances, and general merchandise directly. JD Logistics has become a separate listed subsidiary. Its reputation for authentic products and fast delivery differentiates it from smaller rivals. |
| Investor focus | Investors track China commerce customer management revenue, Alibaba Cloud growth and margin, international commerce GMV, the restructuring progress across six business groups, and shareholder return initiatives (buybacks are massive). | Investors track GMV growth and 1P vs 3P mix, JD Logistics profitability, operating margin improvement as the business scales, and whether JD.com can maintain its electronics and appliance market position against lower-priced competition from Pinduoduo and Alibaba. |
BABA strengths
- →Taobao and Tmall form the dominant Chinese consumer e-commerce ecosystem with 900M+ annual active consumers
- →Alibaba Cloud is the largest China cloud provider with growing AI infrastructure capabilities
- →Deep valuation discount versus US e-commerce peers creates a compelling risk/reward if regulatory risk normalizes
JD strengths
- →Proprietary logistics network provides delivery speed and authenticity guarantees competitors cannot match
- →Electronics and appliance market share is deep — JD is the premier marketplace for branded tech products
- →JD Logistics creates a separately monetizable asset servicing third-party merchants
Risks to watch — BABA
- →Regulatory risk remains elevated — CCP oversight of large tech platforms is structural, not temporary
- →Competition from PDD Holdings (Pinduoduo/Temu) taking share in value e-commerce
- →Variable interest entity (VIE) structure means US-listed shares are contractual rights, not direct equity
Risks to watch — JD
- →Margin compression from competition — Pinduoduo's price competition has forced JD to spend more on subsidies
- →1P inventory model carries higher working capital and inventory risk than pure marketplace peers
- →Growth rates have moderated as the Chinese consumer electronics market matures
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