WTRG vs AWK Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
WTRG (Essential Utilities) and AWK (American Water Works) are both regulated water utilities with active acquisition strategies and 6-9% annual EPS growth targets — Essential Utilities is the smaller company with a unique water/natural gas combination after acquiring Peoples Natural Gas, while American Water Works is the largest U.S. water utility with 14+ million customers in 24 states, the Military Services Group, and consistent double-digit earnings growth history.
WTRG vs AWK is the third-largest U.S. water utility with unique water/gas combination and Pennsylvania concentration (Essential Utilities' Aqua America water leadership, Peoples Natural Gas diversification, and municipal water system acquisition strategy — managing higher leverage from Peoples acquisition and PFAS remediation exposure) versus the largest, most diversified U.S. water utility with military contract revenue and multi-decade growth track record (American Water Works' 24-state coverage, Military Services Group long-term contracts, and consistent 7-9% EPS growth — navigating multi-state regulatory complexity and PFAS compliance across the broadest water utility footprint) — combined water/gas utility versus pure-play scaled water compounder.
WTRG holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. WTRG leads on both 1-year return (+1.75%) and forward P/E (15.37x vs 19.07x for AWK), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. Analyst consensus implies similar upside for both: +8.45% for WTRG and +8.38% for AWK.
- →Value Essential Utilities' unique water/natural gas combination as providing two regulated utility platforms with different seasonal demand patterns and diversified rate base
- →See WTRG's active municipal water system acquisition pipeline as a durable growth driver as cash-strapped municipalities sell systems to better-capitalized private operators
- →Believe the Peoples Natural Gas acquisition leverage is manageable and the combined utility platform will deliver sustained earnings growth
- →Want the largest, most liquid pure-play U.S. water utility with a 20+ year history of consistent EPS and dividend growth
- →Value American Water's Military Services Group as providing uniquely stable, long-term contracted revenue from an irreplaceable government customer across 100+ military installations
- →Seek water utility exposure with the deepest management team, strongest capital market access, and broadest geographic diversification in the water sector
| Metric | WTRG | AWK |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | 36.7 | 39.9 |
| AI rank | #1481 | #1116 |
| Latest close | $36.70 | $125.07 |
| 1M return | -1.10% | +0.73% |
| 6M return | -4.18% | -6.67% |
| 1Y return | +1.75% | -11.25% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | WTRG | AWK |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $10.55K (+5.5%) started 2025-06-18 | $8.86K (-11.4%) started 2025-06-18 |
| 5Y ago | $10.78K (+7.8%) started 2021-06-18 | $9.11K (-9.0%) started 2021-06-21 |
| 10Y ago | $19.33K (+93.3%) started 2016-06-20 | $23.01K (+130.1%) started 2016-06-20 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | WTRG | AWK |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $10.41B | $24.42B |
| Trailing P/E | 18.72 | 22.18 |
| Forward P/E | 15.37 | 19.07 |
| Price/Sales | 4.08 | N/A |
| EV/Revenue | 7.36 | 7.67 |
| Analyst target | $39.80 | $135.55 |
| Target upside | +8.45% | +8.38% |
| Metric | WTRG | AWK |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | 10.00% | 5.70% |
| Earnings growth | -23.30% | -4.80% |
| EPS growth | -23.30% | -4.80% |
| FCF margin | -25.43% | -36.44% |
| Operating margin | N/A | 33.22% |
| Profit margin | 21.82% | 21.17% |
| ROIC proxy | 8.34% | 10.22% |
| Return on equity | 8.34% | 10.22% |
| Dividend yield | 3.73% | 2.86% |
| Beta | 0.65 | 0.61 |
| Debt/equity | 122.67 | 142.33 |
| Current ratio | 0.95 | 0.37 |
| Quick ratio | 0.76 | 0.28 |
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | WTRG | AWK |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | +1.75% | -11.36% |
| CAGR | +1.75% | -11.38% | |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.03 | -0.66 | |
| Max drawdown | 12.16% | 17.60% | |
| Max daily drop | 3.40% | 3.74% | |
| Max wkly drop | 6.28% | 11.14% | |
| 5Y | Growth | -8.42% | -16.12% |
| CAGR | -1.74% | -3.46% | |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.17 | -0.24 | |
| Max drawdown | 36.53% | 37.10% | |
| Max daily drop | 5.22% | 5.65% | |
| Max wkly drop | 12.19% | 14.91% | |
| 10Y | Growth | +42.35% | +91.13% |
| CAGR | +3.60% | +6.70% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.09 | 0.20 | |
| Max drawdown | 39.62% | 37.10% | |
| Max daily drop | 12.91% | 12.53% | |
| Max wkly drop | 24.02% | 24.95% |
| Category | WTRG | AWK |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Essential Utilities, Inc. | American Water Works Company, Inc. |
| Sector | Utilities - Water & Natural Gas Distribution | Utilities |
| Industry | N/A | N/A |
| Core business | Essential Utilities (formerly Aqua America) is the third-largest U.S. water utility holding company, providing regulated water and wastewater services to approximately 5.7 million people in Pennsylvania, Ohio, Texas, Illinois, North Carolina, New Jersey, Indiana, Virginia, and other states. In 2020, Essential Utilities acquired Peoples Natural Gas (a large Pennsylvania natural gas distribution utility), becoming the only major U.S. utility to provide both water/wastewater and natural gas distribution under one holding company. Essential Utilities has grown aggressively through tuck-in water system acquisitions (acquiring small municipal water systems), benefiting from municipalities seeking to sell water systems to better-capitalized private operators. | American Water Works is the largest and most geographically diverse publicly traded U.S. water and wastewater utility, serving approximately 14 million+ people in 24 states. American Water provides water treatment, distribution, and wastewater services through regulated subsidiaries (the largest in New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Indiana, Missouri, Illinois, California, and West Virginia) and a growing Military Services Group (operating water and wastewater services on U.S. military installations under long-term contracts) and HomeServe partnerships (home warranty programs). American Water has sold or agreed to sell its operations in several states where it lacks competitive advantage (California, New York, Connecticut) to focus on its strongest markets. |
| Investor focus | Investors track Essential Utilities' rate base growth (both water and natural gas), municipal water system acquisition pipeline, allowed ROE in Pennsylvania and other state rate cases, EPS growth (6-8% annual target), and dividend growth. | Investors track American Water's rate base growth (7-9% annual target), regulated vs. market-based (Military Services) revenue mix, EPS growth (7-9% annual target), water system acquisition activity, and dividend growth. |
- →Pennsylvania water utility leadership with decades of regulatory relationships — Essential Utilities (through Aqua Pennsylvania) has operated Pennsylvania water systems for decades; deep understanding of Pennsylvania PUC regulatory processes provides earnings predictability
- →Natural gas distribution diversification from Peoples acquisition reduces water-only concentration — adding a large natural gas LDC alongside water creates two regulated utility platforms with different seasonal demand patterns; the combined utility platform is more diversified than a pure water operator
- →Municipal water system acquisition strategy captures a long-duration growth opportunity — there are approximately 50,000+ community water systems in the U.S.; most are municipally or cooperatively owned; many lack capital to upgrade aging infrastructure; Essential Utilities acquires these at regulated valuations, adding to rate base and earnings while providing communities better service
- →Largest U.S. water utility scale provides regulatory, operational, and capital market advantages — as the largest U.S. water utility, AWK has the deepest regulatory staff, best access to capital markets at lowest cost, and most experienced operations team; scale advantages compound over time
- →Military Services Group provides long-term contracted revenue stream with a unique government customer — AWK operates water and wastewater systems on approximately 100 military installations under 50-year privatization contracts with the U.S. Army and Air Force; military water contracts are extremely stable (the U.S. military needs water service regardless of economic cycles)
- →Consistent 7-9% EPS growth target supported by rate base investment and municipal acquisitions — AWK has delivered consistent annual EPS growth driven by capital investment, which flows through rate base to regulated earnings
- →Pennsylvania water system water quality and infrastructure liability — aging water infrastructure (lead service lines, PFAS contamination remediation) requires significant capital and creates regulatory scrutiny; any water quality incident in Essential's service area creates legal and regulatory risk
- →Peoples Natural Gas acquisition leverage — the $4.3B Peoples acquisition in 2020 significantly increased Essential Utilities' debt; leverage is higher than pure water utility peers and requires ongoing debt reduction
- →PFAS contamination remediation is a significant cost — PFAS (perfluoroalkyl substances, 'forever chemicals') contamination in drinking water sources requires treatment that costs hundreds of millions; federal PFAS standards issued by EPA create mandatory compliance spending
- →Water utility regulation varies significantly by state — AWK's 24-state presence means navigating 24 different state regulatory environments; some state PUCs are more constructive than others; maintaining consistently favorable rate case outcomes across all states is challenging
- →PFAS and lead service line remediation creates significant capital requirements and litigation risk — AWK's nationwide system footprint exposes it to water quality challenges across multiple states; federal mandates for PFAS treatment and lead service line replacement will require multi-billion dollar investments over 10+ years
- →AWK's California system sale reduces high-growth state exposure — AWK is selling its California operation; California is among the faster-growing western U.S. markets; the sale reduces AWK's long-term geographic diversification
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