XOM vs BP Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Compare ExxonMobil and BP by Permian vs North Sea production, low-carbon investment, dividend sustainability, refining margins, and analyst upside.
Use this ExxonMobil vs BP comparison to evaluate the key differences across valuation, growth, profitability, and risk before making an investment decision.
XOM holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. XOM has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+42.30% vs +40.39%), though BP has the better forward P/E setup (10.53x vs 13.94x for XOM). Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for XOM (+13.26%) than for BP (+9.83%).
| Metric | XOM | BP |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | 42.8 | 42.0 |
| AI rank | #891 | #947 |
| Latest close | $154.45 | $43.32 |
| 1M return | +11.54% | +8.90% |
| 6M return | +15.60% | +26.27% |
| 1Y return | +42.30% | +40.39% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | XOM | BP |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $14.05K (+40.5%) started 2025-07-23 | $14.81K (+48.1%) started 2025-07-22 |
| 5Y ago | $36.25K (+262.5%) started 2021-07-26 | $31.19K (+211.9%) started 2021-07-22 |
| 10Y ago | $41.02K (+310.2%) started 2016-07-25 | $45.78K (+357.8%) started 2016-07-22 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | XOM | BP |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $610.8B | $111.55B |
| Trailing P/E | 24.81 | 34.66 |
| Forward P/E | 13.94 | 10.53 |
| Price/Sales | 1.32 | 0.58 |
| EV/Revenue | 2.01 | 2.62 |
| Analyst target | $166.90 | $47.58 |
| Target upside | +13.26% | +9.83% |
| Metric | XOM | BP |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | 2.60% | 11.60% |
| Earnings growth | -43.40% | 474.50% |
| EPS growth | -43.40% | +474.50% |
| FCF margin | +3.57% | +5.21% |
| Operating margin | 6.35% | N/A |
| Profit margin | 7.76% | 1.66% |
| ROIC proxy | 9.87% | 5.84% |
| Return on equity | 9.87% | 5.84% |
| Dividend yield | 2.80% | 4.67% |
| Beta | 0.16 | -0.23 |
| Debt/equity | 18.26 | 96.38 |
| Current ratio | 1.04 | 1.22 |
| Quick ratio | 0.74 | 0.68 |
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | XOM | BP |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | +40.50% | +40.39% |
| CAGR | +40.62% | +40.43% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.32 | 1.22 | |
| Max drawdown | 20.65% | 23.23% | |
| Max daily drop | 5.23% | 6.38% | |
| Max wkly drop | 9.01% | 9.73% | |
| 5Y | Growth | +207.61% | +135.31% |
| CAGR | +25.25% | +18.67% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.81 | 0.59 | |
| Max drawdown | 20.65% | 30.64% | |
| Max daily drop | 7.89% | 9.44% | |
| Max wkly drop | 15.35% | 22.77% | |
| 10Y | Growth | +150.57% | +113.68% |
| CAGR | +9.63% | +7.89% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.31 | 0.26 | |
| Max drawdown | 61.01% | 63.91% | |
| Max daily drop | 12.22% | 19.10% | |
| Max wkly drop | 25.80% | 34.67% |
| Category | XOM | BP |
|---|---|---|
| Company | XOM | BP |
| Sector | Energy | N/A |
| Industry | Oil & Gas Integrated | N/A |
| Core business | N/A | N/A |
| Investor focus | N/A | N/A |
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