CMG vs DPZ Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Compare Chipotle and Domino's by same-store sales, unit expansion rate, digital order penetration, margins, and franchise vs company-owned model.
Use this Chipotle vs Domino's Pizza comparison to evaluate the key differences across valuation, growth, profitability, and risk before making an investment decision.
DPZ holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. DPZ leads on both 1-year return (-33.50%) and forward P/E quality (15.50x vs 25.42x for CMG), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. On fundamentals, CMG is growing revenue faster (7.40%), while DPZ maintains the higher operating margin (19.34%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for CMG (+25.40%) than for DPZ (+21.32%).
| Metric | CMG | DPZ |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | 49.5 | 37.3 |
| AI rank | #538 | #1455 |
| Latest close | $32.20 | $319.83 |
| 1M return | +5.44% | +8.38% |
| 6M return | -20.92% | -19.83% |
| 1Y return | -38.53% | -33.50% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | CMG | DPZ |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $6.1K (-39.0%) started 2025-07-23 | $6.69K (-33.1%) started 2025-07-23 |
| 5Y ago | $8.91K (-10.9%) started 2021-07-26 | $6.58K (-34.2%) started 2021-07-26 |
| 10Y ago | $36.46K (+264.6%) started 2016-07-25 | $26.19K (+161.9%) started 2016-07-25 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | CMG | DPZ |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $44.18B | $10.72B |
| Trailing P/E | 31.60 | 18.55 |
| Forward P/E | 25.42 | 15.50 |
| Price/Sales | N/A | N/A |
| EV/Revenue | 4.00 | 3.14 |
| Analyst target | $43.19 | $390.86 |
| Target upside | +25.40% | +21.32% |
| Metric | CMG | DPZ |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | 7.40% | 3.50% |
| Earnings growth | -17.90% | -4.60% |
| EPS growth | -17.90% | -4.60% |
| FCF margin | +8.96% | +10.54% |
| Operating margin | 13.27% | 19.34% |
| Profit margin | 11.96% | 11.89% |
| ROIC proxy | 49.23% | N/A |
| Return on equity | 49.23% | N/A |
| Dividend yield | N/A | 2.47% |
| Beta | 0.96 | 0.97 |
| Debt/equity | 217.88 | N/A |
| Current ratio | 0.92 | 1.60 |
| Quick ratio | 0.78 | 0.91 |
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | CMG | DPZ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | -38.99% | -33.10% |
| CAGR | -39.07% | -33.16% | |
| Sharpe ratio | -1.15 | -1.44 | |
| Max drawdown | 46.61% | 41.71% | |
| Max daily drop | 18.18% | 8.84% | |
| Max wkly drop | 23.26% | 10.58% | |
| 5Y | Growth | -10.90% | -37.27% |
| CAGR | -2.28% | -8.92% | |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.03 | -0.32 | |
| Max drawdown | 58.89% | 47.81% | |
| Max daily drop | 18.18% | 13.57% | |
| Max wkly drop | 23.26% | 17.76% | |
| 10Y | Growth | +264.65% | +137.65% |
| CAGR | +13.82% | +9.05% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.42 | 0.29 | |
| Max drawdown | 58.89% | 47.81% | |
| Max daily drop | 18.18% | 13.57% | |
| Max wkly drop | 28.03% | 17.76% |
| Category | CMG | DPZ |
|---|---|---|
| Company | CMG | DPZ |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Consumer Cyclical |
| Industry | N/A | N/A |
| Core business | N/A | N/A |
| Investor focus | N/A | N/A |
Want deeper AI forecasts?
This comparison page is public and free forever. Subscribers can unlock saved watchlists, full AI rankings, detailed forecasts, and interactive analysis tools.