HWM vs Aerospace Structural Components Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
HWM (Howmet Aerospace) is the publicly traded leader in investment-cast jet engine airfoils, aerospace fasteners, and structural components — a direct competitor to private Precision Castparts (Berkshire Hathaway subsidiary) in the most technically demanding aerospace manufacturing segments. Both companies have multi-decade qualification positions on all major commercial jet engine programs that create structural recurring revenue as production rates ramp.
Howmet Aerospace is a world-class precision aerospace component manufacturer with sole-source positions in technically demanding investment-cast turbine blades, airframe fasteners, and structural components (benefiting from Boeing/Airbus production ramp tailwinds, aftermarket blade replacement demand, and irreplaceable metallurgical expertise) — competing against private Precision Castparts in a duopoly-like market for complex aerospace castings and forgings where qualifications take years and switching is extraordinarily difficult.
HWM and TGI are closely matched — they split the tracked metrics evenly.
- →Value Howmet's technically irreplaceable position in investment-cast turbine blades — a capability requiring decades of accumulated metallurgical expertise that creates genuine barriers to competition
- →See commercial aerospace production rate ramps (737 MAX to 50+/month, A320neo to 75+/month) as creating multi-year volume growth for Howmet's commercial OEM segment
- →Appreciate Howmet's aftermarket revenue as providing recurring, high-margin cash flow throughout 20-30 year aircraft service lives that compounds the value of each engine program qualification
- →Seek sole-source aerospace component pricing power across hundreds of proprietary niches where TransDigm has no competition — the business model creates extraordinary pricing power in a fragmented supply landscape
- →Are comfortable with TransDigm's high leverage as a deliberate capital structure choice that the management team has executed successfully over multiple economic cycles
- →Value TransDigm's aftermarket-heavy mix as providing the highest-margin, most recurring revenue profile in the commercial aerospace supply chain
| Metric | HWM | TGI |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | 55.9 | N/A |
| AI rank | #244 | N/A |
| Latest close | $277.66 | N/A |
| 1M return | +9.70% | N/A |
| 6M return | +45.23% | N/A |
| 1Y return | +61.32% | N/A |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | HWM | TGI |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $16.31K (+63.1%) started 2025-06-18 | N/A |
| 5Y ago | $83.54K (+735.4%) started 2021-06-21 | N/A |
| 10Y ago | $155.31K (+1453.1%) started 2016-11-01 | N/A |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | HWM | TGI |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $105.9B | N/A |
| Trailing P/E | 61.41 | N/A |
| Forward P/E | 43.99 | N/A |
| Price/Sales | N/A | 1.60 |
| EV/Revenue | 12.56 | N/A |
| Analyst target | $303.23 | N/A |
| Target upside | +14.57% | N/A |
| Metric | HWM | TGI |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | 19.10% | N/A |
| Earnings growth | 71.40% | N/A |
| EPS growth | +71.40% | N/A |
| FCF margin | +13.83% | N/A |
| Operating margin | 28.19% | N/A |
| Profit margin | 20.23% | N/A |
| ROIC proxy | 33.82% | N/A |
| Return on equity | 33.82% | N/A |
| Dividend yield | 0.18% | N/A |
| Beta | 1.19 | 0.28 |
| Debt/equity | 87.79 | N/A |
| Current ratio | 2.44 | N/A |
| Quick ratio | 1.46 | N/A |
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | HWM | TGI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | +63.11% | N/A |
| CAGR | +63.22% | N/A | |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.57 | N/A | |
| Max drawdown | 15.89% | N/A | |
| Max daily drop | 6.44% | N/A | |
| Max wkly drop | 6.65% | N/A | |
| 5Y | Growth | +725.09% | N/A |
| CAGR | +52.61% | N/A | |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.34 | N/A | |
| Max drawdown | 21.22% | N/A | |
| Max daily drop | 10.14% | N/A | |
| Max wkly drop | 13.97% | N/A | |
| 10Y | Growth | +1409.47% | N/A |
| CAGR | +32.57% | N/A | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.79 | N/A | |
| Max drawdown | 68.92% | N/A | |
| Max daily drop | 20.63% | N/A | |
| Max wkly drop | 35.43% | N/A |
| Category | HWM | TGI |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Howmet Aerospace Inc. | TransDigm Group Incorporated (Aerospace Component Comparison) |
| Sector | Industrials | Industrials - Aerospace Components / Proprietary Defense Hardware |
| Industry | N/A | N/A |
| Core business | Howmet Aerospace is a world-leading manufacturer of advanced aerospace components, primarily using investment casting and forging to produce jet engine airfoils (turbine blades, vanes, and nozzle guide vanes that must survive 2,000°F+ temperatures in jet engine hot sections), fastening systems (titanium and specialty alloy fasteners for airframes), and engineered structures (complex titanium and aluminum structural components for commercial and military aircraft). Howmet serves Boeing, Airbus, GE Aerospace, Pratt & Whitney, Rolls-Royce, and defense contractors. Howmet was spun out of Arconic (formerly Alcoa's aerospace unit) in 2020 as a pure-play aerospace component manufacturer. Howmet's components require years of qualification testing before being certified for use on specific engine models — once qualified, Howmet products are essentially sole-sourced on those programs. | TransDigm Group (TDG) is used here as a publicly traded aerospace component reference comparable to Precision Castparts (which is private). TransDigm acquires proprietary aerospace components businesses with sole-source positions on commercial and military aircraft — hydraulic systems, ignition systems, specialized fasteners, sensors, and numerous defense-specific components. TransDigm's business model: buy aerospace component businesses with pricing power (sole-sourced on specific aircraft); extract value through pricing discipline and operational efficiency; use cash flow for further acquisitions. Note: Precision Castparts (PCC) remains a wholly owned Berkshire Hathaway subsidiary since 2016; PCC is among the world's two largest investment casting and forging companies for aerospace (alongside Howmet); PCC makes structural titanium castings, nickel superalloy castings, and complex forgings for all major commercial and military aircraft programs. |
| Investor focus | Investors track Howmet's revenue growth from commercial aerospace (driven by Boeing 737 MAX and Airbus A320neo production ramps), engine program content, fasteners sales, defense exposure, and EBITDA margin expansion. | TransDigm investors track revenue by commercial aftermarket vs. OEM vs. defense (aftermarket is highest margin), pricing power sustainability, acquisition pipeline, and leverage (TransDigm is highly leveraged). PCC (private) was evaluated on aerospace cast and forged component volume and aerospace production rates. |
- →Howmet's investment casting technology for jet engine airfoils is among the most technically demanding manufacturing in the world — turbine blades operating at 2,000°F+ in GE CFM56 and LEAP engines must maintain structural integrity, dimensional precision, and aerodynamic shape; Howmet's directional solidification and single-crystal casting processes for these airfoils represent decades of accumulated metallurgical know-how that competitors cannot easily replicate
- →Long-tail aerospace content value — a Howmet turbine blade qualified for a specific engine variant flies on every aircraft using that engine for 20-30 years; commercial aircraft engines are maintained and repaired for decades; aftermarket replacement blade demand provides recurring, high-margin revenue beyond initial production
- →Commercial aerospace production ramp (737 MAX, A320neo) creates multi-year volume growth tailwind — Boeing and Airbus have massive backlogs (several years of aircraft orders); as production rates ramp, Howmet supplies proportionally more engine and airframe components; structural volume growth without requiring Howmet to win new programs
- →TransDigm's sole-source component positions create near-monopoly pricing power in hundreds of narrow aerospace niches — a proprietary hydraulic valve qualified for a specific aircraft model has no alternative supplier; TransDigm charges prices reflecting this scarcity
- →Aftermarket revenue at high margins provides recurring cash flow throughout aircraft service life — when airlines need replacement components for aging planes, they must buy from sole-source suppliers like TransDigm regardless of price; aftermarket margins are significantly above OEM supply margins
- →Precision Castparts' investment casting leadership (as context): PCC operated massive investment casting and forging facilities producing titanium and nickel superalloy structural components for all major commercial aircraft; PCC's scale and qualification breadth across Boeing 787, Airbus A350, and military programs made it Howmet's primary competitor
- →Boeing production disruptions (737 MAX groundings, quality escapes) directly impact Howmet's volume — Howmet is among Boeing's largest structural component suppliers; Boeing production cuts reduce Howmet's shipment volumes
- →Single-crystal turbine blade casting is technically demanding — any defect in the complex casting process produces scrap; yield rates and ramp efficiency are critical to gross margin delivery
- →Titanium supply chain exposure to Russia — aerospace-grade titanium was historically supplied significantly from Russia (VSMPO-AVISMA); supply disruptions following Ukraine invasion required Western aerospace to qualify alternative titanium sources
- →TransDigm's pricing practices have attracted Congressional scrutiny — the company has faced criticism for pricing increases on sole-source defense components; regulatory pricing pressure could constrain future pricing power
- →High leverage limits financial flexibility — TransDigm uses debt extensively for acquisitions; leverage ratios are among the highest in aerospace; rising interest rates increase debt service costs
- →For PCC (private context): Berkshire's 2016 acquisition at $37.2B was considered a premium price; subsequent aerospace cycle weakness (COVID impact on commercial aviation, Boeing 737 MAX grounding) impaired PCC's near-term earnings below the acquisition-implied expectations
Want deeper AI forecasts?
This comparison page is public and free forever. Subscribers can unlock saved watchlists, full AI rankings, detailed forecasts, and interactive analysis tools.