LIVE
NFLX
Netflix, Inc. · Communication Services
$82.18
-6.90% this month
VERSUS
⟷
COMPARE
DIS
The Walt Disney Company · Communication Services
$99.71
-7.73% this month
AI Score
27.1vs40.2
DIS ↑1Y Return
-93.37%vs-12.14%
DIS ↑Forward P/E
22.38xvs13.59x
DIS ↑Target Upside
+33.17%vs+27.17%
NFLX ↑Scoreboard verdict
Across AI score, momentum, valuation, upside, operating margin
NFLX
2
DIS
3
Metrics last refreshed: 6/6/2026
Quick take
NFLX vs DIS: Netflix vs Disney — Which Streaming Stock Wins?: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Netflix is the pure-play streaming market leader with growing margins and a maturing advertising business, while Disney is a diversified media company with unmatched IP, a profitable parks business, and streaming assets still working toward full profitability. The choice is between a focused, higher-multiple streaming leader and a diversified conglomerate with more complex moving parts but potentially more upside from asset re-rating.
Use this NFLX vs DIS comparison to evaluate streaming leadership quality. Netflix has superior streaming fundamentals and cleaner execution; Disney has more diverse assets and potentially undervalued franchise IP, but also more operational complexity and ongoing cord-cutting headwinds.
Live analysis · updated 6/6/2026
DIS holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. DIS leads on both 1-year return (-12.14%) and forward P/E (13.59x vs 22.38x for NFLX), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. NFLX leads on both revenue growth (16.20%) and operating margin (32.30%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for NFLX (+33.17%) than for DIS (+27.17%).
Comparison scoreboard
DIS LEADS 3/5AI Score
NFLX 27.1
DIS ✓40.2
1Y Return
NFLX -93.37%
DIS ✓-12.14%
Fwd P/E
NFLX 22.38
DIS ✓13.59
Target Up.
NFLX ✓+33.17%
DIS +27.17%
Op. Margin
NFLX ✓32.30%
DIS 15.51%
Normalized 1Y performance
NFLX
DIS
Recent returns
NFLX
DIS
Analyst price targets & sentiment
NFLX · 45 analysts
STRONG BUYHOLDSTRONG SELL
Buy (1.9/5.0)
Price target range
analyst high$1,514.00
analyst mean$114.56
current price$82.18
+33.2% upside to analyst mean
DIS · 29 analysts
STRONG BUYHOLDSTRONG SELL
Buy (1.8/5.0)
Price target range
analyst low$79.00
analyst high$148.00
analyst mean$129.49
current price$99.71
+27.2% upside to analyst mean
Who should consider this stock?
NFLX may suit investors who:
- →Want pure-play exposure to the global streaming leader with a proven subscription model
- →Believe advertising tier growth will compound revenue per subscriber meaningfully
- →Prefer a simpler business model without theme parks, linear TV, or cruise lines
- →Are comfortable paying a premium multiple for demonstrated streaming market leadership
DIS may suit investors who:
- →See Disney's franchise IP and parks as undervalued relative to streaming peers
- →Believe the ESPN direct-to-consumer launch represents a major catalyst
- →Want diversified media and entertainment exposure across streaming, parks, and film
- →Are comfortable with the complexity of a turnaround in linear TV while streaming scales
Performance & AI score
| Metric | NFLX | DIS |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | 27.1 | 40.2 |
| AI rank | #2542 | #1074 |
| Latest close | $82.18 | $99.71 |
| 1M return | -6.90% | -7.73% |
| 6M return | -20.38% | -5.46% |
| 1Y return | -93.37% | -12.14% |
$10,000 invested — hypothetical growth (dividends reinvested)
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | NFLX | DIS |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $657.17 (-93.4%) started 2025-06-05 | $8.86K (-11.4%) started 2025-06-05 |
| 5Y ago | $1.66K (-83.4%) started 2021-06-07 | $5.77K (-42.3%) started 2021-06-07 |
| 10Y ago | $8.16K (-18.4%) started 2016-06-06 | $11.65K (+16.5%) started 2016-06-06 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
Valuation & upside potential
| Metric | NFLX | DIS |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $362.21B | $176.83B |
| Trailing P/E | 27.75 | 16.29 |
| Forward P/E | 22.38 | 13.59 |
| Price/Sales | 13.15 | 2.18 |
| EV/Revenue | 7.82 | 2.31 |
| Analyst target | $114.56 | $129.49 |
| Target upside | +33.17% | +27.17% |
Growth, profitability & risk
| Metric | NFLX | DIS |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | 16.20% | 6.50% |
| Earnings growth | 86.40% | -29.80% |
| EPS growth | +86.40% | -29.80% |
| FCF margin | +55.44% | +3.86% |
| Operating margin | 32.30% | 15.51% |
| Profit margin | 28.52% | 11.54% |
| ROIC proxy | 48.49% | 11.01% |
| Return on equity | 48.49% | 11.01% |
| Dividend yield | N/A | 1.47% |
| Beta | 1.55 | 1.42 |
| Debt/equity | 53.79 | 41.07 |
| Current ratio | 1.41 | 0.68 |
| Quick ratio | 1.18 | 0.55 |
Drawdown & downside risk
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
1Y risk snapshot
NFLX max drawdown94.34%
DIS max drawdown25.47%
NFLX max wkly drop90.84%
DIS max wkly drop10.27%
5Y risk snapshot
NFLX max drawdown94.34%
DIS max drawdown57.33%
NFLX max wkly drop90.84%
DIS max wkly drop16.34%
10Y risk snapshot
NFLX max drawdown94.34%
DIS max drawdown60.72%
NFLX max wkly drop90.84%
DIS max wkly drop19.45%
Performance metrics by period
| Period | Metric | NFLX | DIS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | -93.43% | -11.39% |
| CAGR | -93.45% | -11.41% | |
| Sharpe ratio | -1.36 | -0.56 | |
| Max drawdown | 94.34% | 25.47% | |
| Max daily drop | 90.08% | 7.75% | |
| Max wkly drop | 90.84% | 10.27% | |
| 5Y | Growth | -83.39% | -42.97% |
| CAGR | -30.19% | -10.63% | |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.04 | -0.39 | |
| Max drawdown | 94.34% | 57.33% | |
| Max daily drop | 90.08% | 13.16% | |
| Max wkly drop | 90.84% | 16.34% | |
| 10Y | Growth | -18.42% | +8.31% |
| CAGR | -2.02% | +0.80% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.33 | 0.01 | |
| Max drawdown | 94.34% | 60.72% | |
| Max daily drop | 90.08% | 13.16% | |
| Max wkly drop | 90.84% | 19.45% |
Business comparison
| Category | NFLX | DIS |
|---|---|---|
| Company | Netflix, Inc. | The Walt Disney Company |
| Sector | Communication Services | Communication Services |
| Industry | Entertainment | Entertainment |
| Core business | Global subscription streaming platform with over 300 million paid subscribers. Expanding into advertising-supported tiers, live events, and gaming. Pure-play streaming with no legacy media or theme park assets. | Diversified media and entertainment conglomerate spanning Disney+, Hulu, ESPN+, ABC, and linear cable channels, alongside theme parks, cruise lines, and studio film and TV production. |
| Investor focus | Subscriber growth and retention, advertising revenue ramp, average revenue per membership growth, content ROI, and operating margin expansion. | Streaming profitability path for Disney+ and Hulu, ESPN flagship direct-to-consumer launch, Parks segment revenue and margins, and studio franchise performance. |
NFLX strengths
- →Largest global streaming platform with the most content and deepest subscriber base
- →Advertising tier creating a new revenue stream and accessing more price-sensitive subscribers
- →Pure-play streaming model with no legacy media drag or theme park capital requirements
DIS strengths
- →Unmatched franchise IP portfolio: Marvel, Star Wars, Pixar, Disney Animation
- →Theme parks provide high-margin recurring revenue largely uncorrelated with streaming content trends
- →ESPN direct-to-consumer launch represents a major potential revenue rerating catalyst
Risks to watch — NFLX
- →Content spending required to maintain subscriber engagement and reduce churn
- →Advertising revenue ramp still maturing relative to competitors
- →Increasing competition from Disney+, Max, Apple TV+, and Amazon Prime Video
Risks to watch — DIS
- →Linear television (ABC, cable networks) revenue decline as cord-cutting accelerates
- →Content cost inflation for Marvel and franchise productions
- →Streaming subscriber growth at Disney+ has been uneven
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