MSFT vs NVDA Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
NVDA holds the edge across 5 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. NVDA leads on both 1-year return (+24.50%) and forward P/E quality (15.26x vs 20.16x for MSFT), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. NVDA leads on both revenue growth (85.20%) and operating margin (65.60%), suggesting a stronger fundamental setup on both dimensions. Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for NVDA (+54.81%) than for MSFT (+43.70%).
| Metric | MSFT | NVDA |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | 58.5 | 84.4 |
| AI rank | #169 | #3 |
| Latest close | $384.36 | $202.78 |
| 1M return | -4.72% | -2.60% |
| 6M return | -20.50% | +7.23% |
| 1Y return | -23.66% | +24.50% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | MSFT | NVDA |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $7.63K (-23.7%) started 2025-07-09 | $12.45K (+24.5%) started 2025-07-09 |
| 5Y ago | $14.82K (+48.2%) started 2021-07-12 | $99.26K (+892.6%) started 2021-07-12 |
| 10Y ago | $92.63K (+826.3%) started 2016-07-11 | $1.62M (+16071.4%) started 2016-07-11 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | MSFT | NVDA |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $2.9T | $4.72T |
| Trailing P/E | 23.26 | 29.84 |
| Forward P/E | 20.16 | 15.26 |
| Price/Sales | 11.87 | 23.66 |
| EV/Revenue | 9.26 | 18.44 |
| Analyst target | $561.11 | $301.62 |
| Target upside | +43.70% | +54.81% |
| Metric | MSFT | NVDA |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | 18.30% | 85.20% |
| Earnings growth | 23.40% | 214.50% |
| EPS growth | +23.40% | +214.50% |
| FCF margin | +11.63% | +18.28% |
| Operating margin | 46.33% | 65.60% |
| Profit margin | 39.34% | 62.97% |
| ROIC proxy | 34.01% | 114.29% |
| Return on equity | 34.01% | 114.29% |
| Dividend yield | 0.93% | 0.51% |
| Beta | 1.13 | 2.21 |
| Debt/equity | 30.27 | 6.55 |
| Current ratio | 1.28 | 3.44 |
| Quick ratio | 1.14 | 2.14 |
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | MSFT | NVDA |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | -23.66% | +24.50% |
| CAGR | -23.68% | +24.52% | |
| Sharpe ratio | -1.03 | 0.67 | |
| Max drawdown | 34.91% | 20.22% | |
| Max daily drop | 9.99% | 6.20% | |
| Max wkly drop | 14.43% | 10.72% | |
| 5Y | Growth | +43.27% | +890.60% |
| CAGR | +7.47% | +58.30% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.24 | 1.06 | |
| Max drawdown | 37.15% | 66.34% | |
| Max daily drop | 9.99% | 16.97% | |
| Max wkly drop | 14.43% | 22.20% | |
| 10Y | Growth | +720.10% | +15778.61% |
| CAGR | +23.44% | +66.04% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.75 | 1.18 | |
| Max drawdown | 37.15% | 66.34% | |
| Max daily drop | 14.74% | 18.76% | |
| Max wkly drop | 16.36% | 28.36% |
| Category | MSFT | NVDA |
|---|---|---|
| Company | MSFT | NVDA |
| Sector | Technology | Technology |
| Industry | Software - Infrastructure | Semiconductors |
| Core business | N/A | N/A |
| Investor focus | N/A | N/A |
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