MPC vs VLO Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
VLO holds the edge across 4 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. VLO has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+91.11% vs +53.33%), though MPC trades at the lower forward P/E (10.00x vs 11.06x). On fundamentals, MPC is growing revenue faster (8.80%), while VLO maintains the higher operating margin (6.05%) — a classic growth-versus-profitability split. Analyst consensus implies similar upside for both: +10.40% for MPC and +10.74% for VLO.
| Metric | MPC | VLO |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | 61.5 | 61.8 |
| AI rank | #124 | #119 |
| Latest close | $254.06 | $259.37 |
| 1M return | +2.84% | +7.92% |
| 6M return | +53.30% | +57.70% |
| 1Y return | +53.33% | +91.11% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | MPC | VLO |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $15.17K (+51.7%) started 2025-06-26 | $18.94K (+89.4%) started 2025-06-26 |
| 5Y ago | $50.88K (+408.8%) started 2021-06-28 | $44.32K (+343.2%) started 2021-06-28 |
| 10Y ago | $140.82K (+1308.2%) started 2016-06-27 | $112.83K (+1028.3%) started 2016-06-27 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | MPC | VLO |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $70.91B | $70.17B |
| Trailing P/E | 16.00 | 17.27 |
| Forward P/E | 10.00 | 11.06 |
| Price/Sales | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| EV/Revenue | 0.81 | 0.67 |
| Analyst target | $268.17 | $261.68 |
| Target upside | +10.40% | +10.74% |
| Metric | MPC | VLO |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | 8.80% | 6.60% |
| Earnings growth | 350.70% | 317.90% |
| EPS growth | +350.70% | +317.90% |
| FCF margin | +2.59% | +4.06% |
| Operating margin | 3.56% | 6.05% |
| Profit margin | 3.41% | 3.57% |
| ROIC proxy | 27.46% | 15.85% |
| Return on equity | 27.46% | 15.85% |
| Dividend yield | 1.61% | 2.03% |
| Beta | 0.52 | 0.55 |
| Debt/equity | 146.52 | 42.66 |
| Current ratio | 1.18 | 1.58 |
| Quick ratio | 0.69 | 1.08 |
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | MPC | VLO |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | +51.66% | +89.36% |
| CAGR | +51.75% | +89.54% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.32 | 1.85 | |
| Max drawdown | 18.74% | 14.88% | |
| Max daily drop | 6.13% | 7.48% | |
| Max wkly drop | 11.18% | 8.67% | |
| 5Y | Growth | +361.14% | +283.85% |
| CAGR | +35.80% | +30.90% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.96 | 0.80 | |
| Max drawdown | 44.75% | 41.22% | |
| Max daily drop | 13.06% | 14.47% | |
| Max wkly drop | 19.43% | 21.35% | |
| 10Y | Growth | +920.32% | +630.86% |
| CAGR | +26.15% | +22.01% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.67 | 0.58 | |
| Max drawdown | 79.67% | 71.88% | |
| Max daily drop | 27.01% | 19.22% | |
| Max wkly drop | 46.59% | 35.65% |
| Category | MPC | VLO |
|---|---|---|
| Company | MPC | VLO |
| Sector | Energy | Energy |
| Industry | Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing | Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing |
| Core business | N/A | N/A |
| Investor focus | N/A | N/A |
Want deeper AI forecasts?
This comparison page is public and free forever. Subscribers can unlock saved watchlists, full AI rankings, detailed forecasts, and interactive analysis tools.