GPI vs PAG Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
Compare Group 1 Automotive and Penske Automotive by new/used vehicle gross margin per unit, F&I income, fixed operations (service/parts) revenue as recurring income, and which publicly traded auto dealer group is better managed through a vehicle inventory normalization cycle.
Use this Group 1 Automotive vs Penske Automotive comparison to evaluate the key differences across valuation, growth, profitability, and risk before making an investment decision.
GPI and PAG are closely matched — they split the tracked metrics evenly. PAG has delivered stronger 1-year price return (+6.30% vs -28.26%), though GPI trades at the lower forward P/E (6.59x vs 12.17x). Analyst consensus implies meaningfully more upside for GPI (+38.75%) than for PAG (+5.42%).
| Metric | GPI | PAG |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | 40.0 | 43.9 |
| AI rank | #1106 | #791 |
| Latest close | $313.16 | $175.20 |
| 1M return | +2.70% | +12.95% |
| 6M return | -22.95% | +6.21% |
| 1Y return | -28.26% | +6.30% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | GPI | PAG |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $7.22K (-27.8%) started 2025-06-18 | $10.99K (+9.9%) started 2025-06-18 |
| 5Y ago | $23.24K (+132.4%) started 2021-06-18 | $30.97K (+209.7%) started 2021-06-18 |
| 10Y ago | $65.14K (+551.4%) started 2016-06-20 | $81.76K (+717.6%) started 2016-06-20 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | GPI | PAG |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $3.73B | $11.52B |
| Trailing P/E | 11.90 | 12.67 |
| Forward P/E | 6.59 | 12.17 |
| Price/Sales | 0.17 | 0.36 |
| EV/Revenue | 0.42 | 0.67 |
| Analyst target | $434.50 | $184.70 |
| Target upside | +38.75% | +5.42% |
| Metric | GPI | PAG |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | -1.80% | -1.10% |
| Earnings growth | 12.10% | -7.80% |
| EPS growth | +12.10% | -7.80% |
| FCF margin | +1.24% | +0.69% |
| Operating margin | N/A | N/A |
| Profit margin | 1.46% | 2.88% |
| ROIC proxy | 11.18% | 16.48% |
| Return on equity | 11.18% | 16.48% |
| Dividend yield | 0.02% | 3.14% |
| Beta | 0.82 | 0.88 |
| Debt/equity | 197.63 | 164.25 |
| Current ratio | 0.95 | 0.96 |
| Quick ratio | 0.18 | 0.18 |
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | GPI | PAG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | -28.26% | +6.30% |
| CAGR | -28.27% | +6.30% | |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.97 | 0.19 | |
| Max drawdown | 38.91% | 24.03% | |
| Max daily drop | 8.64% | 6.41% | |
| Max wkly drop | 15.42% | 10.86% | |
| 5Y | Growth | +124.70% | +172.47% |
| CAGR | +17.58% | +22.20% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.50 | 0.65 | |
| Max drawdown | 38.91% | 24.03% | |
| Max daily drop | 10.96% | 11.79% | |
| Max wkly drop | 16.11% | 15.48% | |
| 10Y | Growth | +490.25% | +513.58% |
| CAGR | +19.44% | +19.91% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.52 | 0.56 | |
| Max drawdown | 70.25% | 59.98% | |
| Max daily drop | 21.70% | 20.61% | |
| Max wkly drop | 46.96% | 45.74% |
| Category | GPI | PAG |
|---|---|---|
| Company | GPI | PAG |
| Sector | N/A | N/A |
| Industry | N/A | N/A |
| Core business | N/A | N/A |
| Investor focus | N/A | N/A |
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