brimindinvest.com / compare / kr-vs-svsLIVE
KR
The Kroger Co. · Consumer Staples - Supermarkets
$56.61
-19.82% this month
VERSUS
COMPARE
SFM
Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. · Consumer Staples - Specialty Grocery
$80.49
-10.59% this month
Scoreboard verdict
Across AI score, momentum, valuation, upside, operating margin
KR
3
SFM
1
KR LEADS 3/5
Comparison scoreboard
KR LEADS 3/5
AI Score
KR 41.0
SFM 44.2
1Y Return
KR -14.16%
SFM -50.27%
Fwd P/E
KR 11.53
SFM 13.55
Target Up.
KR +16.46%
SFM +14.83%
Op. Margin
KR 3.44%
SFM N/A
Metrics last refreshed: 6/20/2026
Quick take

KR vs SFM Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside

KR (Kroger) and SFM (Sprouts Farmers Market) are both U.S. grocery retailers but serving different consumer segments and using different formats — Kroger is a massive conventional supermarket chain competing on price, private label, and digital capabilities for broad grocery shopping, while Sprouts is a specialty natural and organic grocery format targeting health-conscious shoppers with a produce-centric farmers market environment. Kroger is scale and value; Sprouts is specialty and health.

KR vs SFM is conventional supermarket scale navigating competitive disruption (Kroger's massive store network, private label investment, and digital capabilities competing against Walmart, Amazon, and discount grocers in the mainstream grocery market) versus specialty natural grocery growth format (Sprouts' health-conscious positioning with attractive unit economics enabling profitable new store expansion in an underserved specialty grocery segment) — scale incumbent versus focused specialty grower.

Live analysis · updated 6/20/2026

KR holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. KR leads on both 1-year return (-14.16%) and forward P/E (11.53x vs 13.55x for SFM), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. Analyst consensus implies similar upside for both: +16.46% for KR and +14.83% for SFM.

Normalized 1Y performance
KR
SFM
Recent returns
KR
SFM
Analyst price targets & sentiment
KR
Price target range
analyst mean$75.36
current price$56.61
+16.5% upside to analyst mean
SFM · 14 analysts
Price target range
analyst low$70.00
analyst high$140.00
analyst mean$92.43
current price$80.49
+14.8% upside to analyst mean
Who should consider this stock?
KR may suit investors who:
  • Want a dividend-paying conventional supermarket holding with scale advantages in procurement, private label, and loyalty data that create competitive differentiation from smaller grocery competitors
  • Value Kroger's pharmacy and health clinic presence as differentiated from pure-play food retailers and providing additional customer touchpoints
  • Are comfortable with Kroger's competitive pressure from Walmart and Amazon as manageable for a scale operator with strong regional market positions and digital investment
SFM may suit investors who:
  • Want specialty grocery growth exposure with Sprouts' combination of health-conscious consumer positioning and attractive unit economics enabling profitable new store openings
  • Value Sprouts' format differentiation — smaller stores, produce-centric display, bulk foods, and vitamin/supplement focus creating a distinct shopping environment that doesn't directly compete with Walmart or Amazon's core grocery proposition
  • See Sprouts' accelerating new store program as a durable growth driver as health-conscious consumers represent a growing customer segment that conventional grocers don't fully serve
Performance & AI score
MetricKRSFM
AI score41.044.2
AI rank#992#783
Latest close$56.61$80.49
1M return-19.82%-10.59%
6M return-11.28%-0.57%
1Y return-14.16%-50.27%
$10,000 invested — hypothetical growth (dividends reinvested)

How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?

PeriodKRSFM
1Y ago$8.64K (-13.6%)
started 2025-06-18
$4.97K (-50.3%)
started 2025-06-18
5Y ago$17.04K (+70.4%)
started 2021-06-21
$29.19K (+191.9%)
started 2021-06-18
10Y ago$24.05K (+140.5%)
started 2016-06-20
$35.62K (+256.2%)
started 2016-06-20

Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.

Valuation & upside potential
MetricKRSFM
Market cap$39.9B$7.57B
Trailing P/E42.0215.45
Forward P/E11.5313.55
Price/SalesN/A0.85
EV/Revenue0.491.09
Analyst target$75.36$92.43
Target upside+16.46%+14.83%
Growth, profitability & risk
MetricKRSFM
Revenue growth1.20%4.10%
Earnings growth50.90%-5.50%
EPS growth+50.90%-5.50%
FCF margin+2.30%+4.94%
Operating margin3.44%N/A
Profit margin0.69%5.70%
ROIC proxy14.41%37.28%
Return on equity14.41%37.28%
Dividend yield2.16%0.00%
Beta0.420.67
Debt/equity415.97143.69
Current ratio0.800.92
Quick ratio0.300.38
Drawdown & downside risk

Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.

1Y risk snapshot
KR max drawdown25.12%
SFM max drawdown62.17%
KR max wkly drop11.71%
SFM max wkly drop28.66%
5Y risk snapshot
KR max drawdown31.07%
SFM max drawdown63.48%
KR max wkly drop11.71%
SFM max wkly drop28.66%
10Y risk snapshot
KR max drawdown46.25%
SFM max drawdown63.48%
KR max wkly drop27.58%
SFM max wkly drop28.66%
Performance metrics by period
PeriodMetricKRSFM
1YGrowth-13.60%-50.27%
CAGR-13.62%-50.30%
Sharpe ratio-0.52-1.37
Max drawdown25.12%62.17%
Max daily drop8.43%26.11%
Max wkly drop11.71%28.66%
5YGrowth+55.85%+191.95%
CAGR+9.30%+23.90%
Sharpe ratio0.300.63
Max drawdown31.07%63.48%
Max daily drop8.43%26.11%
Max wkly drop11.71%28.66%
10YGrowth+96.30%+256.15%
CAGR+6.98%+13.55%
Sharpe ratio0.220.41
Max drawdown46.25%63.48%
Max daily drop18.89%26.11%
Max wkly drop27.58%28.66%
Business comparison
CategoryKRSFM
CompanyThe Kroger Co.Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.
SectorConsumer DefensiveConsumer Staples - Specialty Grocery
IndustryN/AN/A
Core businessKroger is the largest pure-play grocery retailer in the U.S. — operating approximately 2,700 supermarkets under 20+ banner names (Kroger, Fred Meyer, Ralphs, King Soopers, Harris Teeter, Smith's). Kroger's strategy combines conventional supermarket formats with pharmacy (The Little Clinic), fuel stations, Simple Truth private label natural food brands, and a growing digital/delivery business. Kroger's digital capabilities include home delivery, ClickList curbside pickup, and a grocery advertising data business (84.51° analytics).Sprouts Farmers Market is a specialty grocery chain with approximately 400 stores focused on natural, organic, and health-focused foods — particularly known for its large, fresh produce sections (displayed in a farmers market-style format), bulk foods, vitamins and supplements, and specialty dietary products (gluten-free, keto, plant-based, Paleo). Sprouts targets health-conscious consumers who prioritize clean ingredients, organic produce, and specialized dietary products.
Investor focusInvestors track Kroger's identical store sales growth (same-store metric excluding fuel), gross margin management (private label mix helps margins), digital sales penetration, pharmacy performance, and the competitive landscape against Walmart, Amazon Fresh, Albertsons (proposed merger blocked by FTC in 2024), and Aldi/Lidl discount grocers.Investors track Sprouts' comparable store sales, new store openings (Sprouts has been accelerating store count), store-level economics (attractive unit economics make new stores high-return investments), gross margin (specialty formats typically carry higher margins than conventional grocers), and Sprouts' differentiation from Whole Foods and conventional grocery natural food sections.
KR strengths
  • Scale advantages in procurement and private label — Kroger's massive scale allows it to negotiate favorable supplier terms and invest in private label (Simple Truth, Kroger brand) which carries significantly higher margins than national brand equivalents
  • Loyalty data through fuel program and digital — Kroger's fuel points program drives supermarket loyalty while collecting extensive purchase data; 84.51° analytics monetizes this data through targeted advertising to CPG brands selling in Kroger stores
  • Pharmacy and health clinic integration — Kroger's pharmacy and Little Clinic health clinics differentiate from pure-play food retailers and drive regular customer visits that provide more touchpoints for overall grocery shopping
SFM strengths
  • Health-focused consumer positioning with loyal customer base — Sprouts' core shoppers are health-conscious and value the specialty product selection and produce quality; this creates above-average loyalty and basket sizes among its target demographic
  • Attractive unit economics enabling accelerated expansion — Sprouts' stores are typically smaller than conventional supermarkets (25,000-30,000 sq ft vs. 50,000+ for Kroger), require lower capital investment to open, and reach profitability faster; this enables Sprouts to open new stores profitably and expand its store count
  • Differentiated from conventional grocers and Whole Foods — Sprouts occupies a positioning between standard grocery (Kroger, Safeway) and ultra-premium (Whole Foods); it offers a large organic produce selection and specialty products at lower average price points than Whole Foods, serving consumers who want natural grocery shopping without Whole Foods' higher prices
Risks to watch — KR
  • Walmart and Amazon competition — Walmart's grocery market share continues growing driven by lower prices and Supercenter convenience; Amazon Fresh and Whole Foods compete in the premium tier; Kroger must maintain price competitiveness while investing in digital capabilities
  • FTC blocked Kroger-Albertsons merger — the FTC blocked Kroger's proposed acquisition of Albertsons in 2024, preventing Kroger from achieving the scale to better compete with Walmart and Amazon; Kroger must pursue organic growth strategy instead
  • Inflationary environment pressuring gross margins — food cost inflation and labor cost increases pressure Kroger's operating margins; price investments to remain competitive with Walmart reduce margin as volumes are maintained
Risks to watch — SFM
  • Conventional grocery expansion into natural and organic — Kroger, Albertsons, and other conventional grocers have significantly expanded natural and organic sections (Kroger's Simple Truth natural line) and may erode Sprouts' differentiation
  • Whole Foods Amazon integration potential — Whole Foods under Amazon could become more price-competitive or improve its shopping experience, creating more direct pressure on Sprouts' value proposition
  • Smaller scale limits private label investment versus conventional grocers — Sprouts' smaller revenue base limits its ability to develop deep private label programs; Kroger's Simple Truth organic private label provides similar products at Kroger's scale with Kroger's brand
Frequently asked questions
Private label (or store brand) grocery products are manufactured by third-party suppliers but sold under the retailer's own brand rather than the manufacturer's brand. A customer buying Kroger Simple Truth Organic chicken broth instead of Swanson chicken broth is choosing a private label product. Private label is strategically important for grocers for several reasons: gross margins on private label are typically 25-35% versus 10-15% for national brands (the retailer captures the brand premium and marketing savings); private label products differentiate the retailer because they're only available in that retailer's stores, increasing customer loyalty; and private label products signal value leadership to consumers comparing prices. Kroger's Simple Truth natural and organic line has become a multi-billion dollar brand, allowing Kroger to offer organic products at conventional grocery prices — directly competing with Sprouts and Whole Foods' positioning in the organic segment.
AI Prediction SignalNext 5 trading days
Members only
KR
+2.8%BUY
SFM
+1.1%HOLD

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