KR vs SFM Stock Comparison: AI Score, Valuation, Performance and Upside
KR (Kroger) and SFM (Sprouts Farmers Market) are both U.S. grocery retailers but serving different consumer segments and using different formats — Kroger is a massive conventional supermarket chain competing on price, private label, and digital capabilities for broad grocery shopping, while Sprouts is a specialty natural and organic grocery format targeting health-conscious shoppers with a produce-centric farmers market environment. Kroger is scale and value; Sprouts is specialty and health.
KR vs SFM is conventional supermarket scale navigating competitive disruption (Kroger's massive store network, private label investment, and digital capabilities competing against Walmart, Amazon, and discount grocers in the mainstream grocery market) versus specialty natural grocery growth format (Sprouts' health-conscious positioning with attractive unit economics enabling profitable new store expansion in an underserved specialty grocery segment) — scale incumbent versus focused specialty grower.
KR holds the edge across 3 of 5 key metrics in this comparison. KR leads on both 1-year return (-14.16%) and forward P/E (11.53x vs 13.55x for SFM), a relatively favorable combination of momentum and valuation. Analyst consensus implies similar upside for both: +16.46% for KR and +14.83% for SFM.
- →Want a dividend-paying conventional supermarket holding with scale advantages in procurement, private label, and loyalty data that create competitive differentiation from smaller grocery competitors
- →Value Kroger's pharmacy and health clinic presence as differentiated from pure-play food retailers and providing additional customer touchpoints
- →Are comfortable with Kroger's competitive pressure from Walmart and Amazon as manageable for a scale operator with strong regional market positions and digital investment
- →Want specialty grocery growth exposure with Sprouts' combination of health-conscious consumer positioning and attractive unit economics enabling profitable new store openings
- →Value Sprouts' format differentiation — smaller stores, produce-centric display, bulk foods, and vitamin/supplement focus creating a distinct shopping environment that doesn't directly compete with Walmart or Amazon's core grocery proposition
- →See Sprouts' accelerating new store program as a durable growth driver as health-conscious consumers represent a growing customer segment that conventional grocers don't fully serve
| Metric | KR | SFM |
|---|---|---|
| AI score | 41.0 | 44.2 |
| AI rank | #992 | #783 |
| Latest close | $56.61 | $80.49 |
| 1M return | -19.82% | -10.59% |
| 6M return | -11.28% | -0.57% |
| 1Y return | -14.16% | -50.27% |
How much would $10,000 be worth today if invested at the start of each period, with all dividends reinvested?
| Period | KR | SFM |
|---|---|---|
| 1Y ago | $8.64K (-13.6%) started 2025-06-18 | $4.97K (-50.3%) started 2025-06-18 |
| 5Y ago | $17.04K (+70.4%) started 2021-06-21 | $29.19K (+191.9%) started 2021-06-18 |
| 10Y ago | $24.05K (+140.5%) started 2016-06-20 | $35.62K (+256.2%) started 2016-06-20 |
Hypothetical — past performance does not guarantee future results.
| Metric | KR | SFM |
|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $39.9B | $7.57B |
| Trailing P/E | 42.02 | 15.45 |
| Forward P/E | 11.53 | 13.55 |
| Price/Sales | N/A | 0.85 |
| EV/Revenue | 0.49 | 1.09 |
| Analyst target | $75.36 | $92.43 |
| Target upside | +16.46% | +14.83% |
| Metric | KR | SFM |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | 1.20% | 4.10% |
| Earnings growth | 50.90% | -5.50% |
| EPS growth | +50.90% | -5.50% |
| FCF margin | +2.30% | +4.94% |
| Operating margin | 3.44% | N/A |
| Profit margin | 0.69% | 5.70% |
| ROIC proxy | 14.41% | 37.28% |
| Return on equity | 14.41% | 37.28% |
| Dividend yield | 2.16% | 0.00% |
| Beta | 0.42 | 0.67 |
| Debt/equity | 415.97 | 143.69 |
| Current ratio | 0.80 | 0.92 |
| Quick ratio | 0.30 | 0.38 |
Lower drawdown and smaller single-period drops generally indicate a smoother ride, though they do not guarantee lower future risk.
| Period | Metric | KR | SFM |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y | Growth | -13.60% | -50.27% |
| CAGR | -13.62% | -50.30% | |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.52 | -1.37 | |
| Max drawdown | 25.12% | 62.17% | |
| Max daily drop | 8.43% | 26.11% | |
| Max wkly drop | 11.71% | 28.66% | |
| 5Y | Growth | +55.85% | +191.95% |
| CAGR | +9.30% | +23.90% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.30 | 0.63 | |
| Max drawdown | 31.07% | 63.48% | |
| Max daily drop | 8.43% | 26.11% | |
| Max wkly drop | 11.71% | 28.66% | |
| 10Y | Growth | +96.30% | +256.15% |
| CAGR | +6.98% | +13.55% | |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.22 | 0.41 | |
| Max drawdown | 46.25% | 63.48% | |
| Max daily drop | 18.89% | 26.11% | |
| Max wkly drop | 27.58% | 28.66% |
| Category | KR | SFM |
|---|---|---|
| Company | The Kroger Co. | Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. |
| Sector | Consumer Defensive | Consumer Staples - Specialty Grocery |
| Industry | N/A | N/A |
| Core business | Kroger is the largest pure-play grocery retailer in the U.S. — operating approximately 2,700 supermarkets under 20+ banner names (Kroger, Fred Meyer, Ralphs, King Soopers, Harris Teeter, Smith's). Kroger's strategy combines conventional supermarket formats with pharmacy (The Little Clinic), fuel stations, Simple Truth private label natural food brands, and a growing digital/delivery business. Kroger's digital capabilities include home delivery, ClickList curbside pickup, and a grocery advertising data business (84.51° analytics). | Sprouts Farmers Market is a specialty grocery chain with approximately 400 stores focused on natural, organic, and health-focused foods — particularly known for its large, fresh produce sections (displayed in a farmers market-style format), bulk foods, vitamins and supplements, and specialty dietary products (gluten-free, keto, plant-based, Paleo). Sprouts targets health-conscious consumers who prioritize clean ingredients, organic produce, and specialized dietary products. |
| Investor focus | Investors track Kroger's identical store sales growth (same-store metric excluding fuel), gross margin management (private label mix helps margins), digital sales penetration, pharmacy performance, and the competitive landscape against Walmart, Amazon Fresh, Albertsons (proposed merger blocked by FTC in 2024), and Aldi/Lidl discount grocers. | Investors track Sprouts' comparable store sales, new store openings (Sprouts has been accelerating store count), store-level economics (attractive unit economics make new stores high-return investments), gross margin (specialty formats typically carry higher margins than conventional grocers), and Sprouts' differentiation from Whole Foods and conventional grocery natural food sections. |
- →Scale advantages in procurement and private label — Kroger's massive scale allows it to negotiate favorable supplier terms and invest in private label (Simple Truth, Kroger brand) which carries significantly higher margins than national brand equivalents
- →Loyalty data through fuel program and digital — Kroger's fuel points program drives supermarket loyalty while collecting extensive purchase data; 84.51° analytics monetizes this data through targeted advertising to CPG brands selling in Kroger stores
- →Pharmacy and health clinic integration — Kroger's pharmacy and Little Clinic health clinics differentiate from pure-play food retailers and drive regular customer visits that provide more touchpoints for overall grocery shopping
- →Health-focused consumer positioning with loyal customer base — Sprouts' core shoppers are health-conscious and value the specialty product selection and produce quality; this creates above-average loyalty and basket sizes among its target demographic
- →Attractive unit economics enabling accelerated expansion — Sprouts' stores are typically smaller than conventional supermarkets (25,000-30,000 sq ft vs. 50,000+ for Kroger), require lower capital investment to open, and reach profitability faster; this enables Sprouts to open new stores profitably and expand its store count
- →Differentiated from conventional grocers and Whole Foods — Sprouts occupies a positioning between standard grocery (Kroger, Safeway) and ultra-premium (Whole Foods); it offers a large organic produce selection and specialty products at lower average price points than Whole Foods, serving consumers who want natural grocery shopping without Whole Foods' higher prices
- →Walmart and Amazon competition — Walmart's grocery market share continues growing driven by lower prices and Supercenter convenience; Amazon Fresh and Whole Foods compete in the premium tier; Kroger must maintain price competitiveness while investing in digital capabilities
- →FTC blocked Kroger-Albertsons merger — the FTC blocked Kroger's proposed acquisition of Albertsons in 2024, preventing Kroger from achieving the scale to better compete with Walmart and Amazon; Kroger must pursue organic growth strategy instead
- →Inflationary environment pressuring gross margins — food cost inflation and labor cost increases pressure Kroger's operating margins; price investments to remain competitive with Walmart reduce margin as volumes are maintained
- →Conventional grocery expansion into natural and organic — Kroger, Albertsons, and other conventional grocers have significantly expanded natural and organic sections (Kroger's Simple Truth natural line) and may erode Sprouts' differentiation
- →Whole Foods Amazon integration potential — Whole Foods under Amazon could become more price-competitive or improve its shopping experience, creating more direct pressure on Sprouts' value proposition
- →Smaller scale limits private label investment versus conventional grocers — Sprouts' smaller revenue base limits its ability to develop deep private label programs; Kroger's Simple Truth organic private label provides similar products at Kroger's scale with Kroger's brand
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